Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30416586›Full record

ArticleNature climate change2018

Long-distance migratory birds threatened by multiple independent risks from global change.

Damaris Zurell, Catherine H Graham, Laure Gallien, Wilfried Thuiller, Niklaus E Zimmermann

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature climate change, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 151 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The link between colorfulness and extinction risk across the world's passerine birds.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Epigenetic signatures of migratory orientation in a songbird hybrid zone.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2026
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  12. From biologging to conservation: Tracking individual performance in changing environments.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  13. Conservation-focused mapping of avian migratory routes using a pan-European automated telemetry network.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
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  18. Avian migration clocks in a changing world.Journal of comparative physiology. A, Neuroethology, sensory, neural, and behavioral physiology · 2024
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 4 countries.

Damaris ZurellGeography Dept., Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, D-10099 Berlin, Germany.
Catherine H GrahamDept. Biodiversity and Conservation Biology, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
Laure GallienCentre for Invasion Biology, Dept of Botany and Zoology, Stellenbosch University, ZA-7602 Matieland, South Africa.
Wilfried ThuillerUniv. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Univ. Savoie Mont-Blanc, LECA-Laboratoire d'Écologie Alpine, F-38000 Grenoble, France.
Niklaus E ZimmermannDynamic Macroecology, Dept. Landscape Dynamics, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research · CHCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FR

Funding

Swiss National Science Foundation 149508Swiss National Science Foundation 168136Swiss National Science Foundation 170059Swiss National Science Foundation 173342
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many species migrate long distances annually between their breeding and wintering areas1. While global change affects both ranges, impact assessments have generally focused on breeding ranges and ignore how environmental changes influence migrants across geographic regions and the annual cycle2,3. Using range maps and species distribution models, we quantified the risk of summer and winter range loss and migration distance increase from future climate and land cover changes on long-distance migratory birds of the Holarctic (n=715). Risk estimates are largely independent of each other and magnitudes vary geographically. If seasonal range losses and increased migration distances are not considered, we strongly underestimate the number of threatened species by 18-49% and the overall magnitude of risk for 17-50% species. Many of the analysed species facing multiple global change risks are not listed by IUCN as threatened or near threatened. Neglecting seasonal migration in impact assessments could thus seriously misguide species' conservation.

Identifiers

PMID30416586
PMCPMC6217982
OpenAlexW2897732030

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.