ArticlePsychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors2019
Alcohol, tobacco, and marijuana expectancies as predictors of substance use initiation in adolescence: A longitudinal examination.
Article in Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
31 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Culturally sensitive prevention programs for substance use among adolescents of color: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Clinical psychology review · 2023Pooled it
- I am what I am: A meta-analysis of the association between substance user identities and substance use-related outcomes.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2021Pooled it
- Randomized controlled internal pilot trial of a diversion programme for adolescents in police custody who possess illicit substances.Journal of public health (Oxford, England) · 2024Trial
- A randomized experiment of the effects of food advertisements on food-related emotional expectancies in adults.Journal of health psychology · 2023Trial
- The Cannabis Effects Expectancy Questionnaire-Medical (CEEQ-M): Preliminary psychometric properties and longitudinal validation within a clinical trial.Psychological assessment · 2023Trial
- Evaluating the Effectiveness of a Web-Based Program (POP4Teens) to Prevent Prescription Opioid Misuse Among Adolescents: Randomized Controlled Trial.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2021Trial
- Measurement invariance in the Youth Electronic Cigarette Outcome Expectancies Questionnaire across sex and race/ethnicity in pre- to early adolescence.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2026Article
- Latent classes of substance use precursors predict positive alcohol and cannabis expectancies one year later in Black and Latino early adolescents in the ABCD study.Addictive behaviors · 2026Article
- Alcohol-Related Perceptions and High-Risk Drinking Among Brazilian College Students: The Role of Social Contexts, Motives, and Risk Behaviors.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Adolescent Cannabis Expectancies Are Associated With Parental Drug Use History Via Negative Urgency.Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs · 2026Article
- Developmental Trajectories of Positive Expectancies of Cannabis Use Effects Among Early Adolescents: Longitudinal Observational Study Using Latent Class Growth Analysis.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2026Observational
- Tobacco use perceptions and intentions to abstain among adolescents in the English-speaking Caribbean: A cross-sectional secondary analysis.Tobacco prevention & cessation · 2026Article
- The association of witnessing violence with alcohol and cannabis expectancies among Black, Latinx, and White youth: considering neighborhood context.Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology · 2025Article
- Adjusting for Measurement Bias in the MEEQ-B Across Sex and Race/Ethnicity in the ABCD Study.Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs · 2025Article
- Why Do We Eat Comfort Food? Exploring Expectations Regarding Comfort Food and Their Relationship with Comfort Eating Frequency.Nutrients · 2025Article
- Parental Alcohol Use Predicts Neural Emotion Reactivity and Substance Use Intentions in Early Adolescence.The Journal of early adolescence · 2025Article
- Within-Person Bidirectional Relations Between Sleep Problems and Alcohol, Cannabis, and Co-Use Problems in a Representative U.S. Sample.Substance use & misuse · 2025Article
- Nicotine Vaping Expectancies: Organization and Activation in Memory Based on Vaping Use Patterns.Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs · 2024Article
- Predictors of Substance Use Initiation by Early Adolescence.The American journal of psychiatry · 2024Article
- Effects of a nicotine warning label and vaping cessation resources on young adults' perceptions of pro-vaping instagram influencer posts.Addictive behaviors · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Outcome expectancies have been found to be predictive of substance use. While development of expectancies may be dynamic during adolescence, it is unknown whether the rate of change (slope) in substance use expectancies is a risk factor for use onset across multiple substance use domains. The present study tested the hypothesis that the slope of positive and negative alcohol, tobacco, and marijuana use expectancies during mid-adolescence (9th-10th grade) would predict use onset of each respective substance during late adolescence (11th-12th grade). Data from 3,396 ethnically diverse high school students were collected across eight waves of assessment and analyzed within a latent growth modeling framework. Results revealed that the slopes of positive substance use expectancies among never-users of each respective substance predicted increased odds of onset (Alcohol: ORB = 7.73, p < .001; Tobacco: ORB = 5.58, p < .001; Marijuana: ORB = 2.49, p = .001). Only the slope of negative marijuana expectancies predicted increased odds of onset (Marijuana: ORB = .44, p = .04). Baseline level of positive and negative substance use outcome expectancies were also generally found to be associated with onset. For three common drugs used by adolescents, change in substance use expectancies during the first two years of high school may be a marker of risk propensity for substance use onset. Change in expectancies may be an important target in substance use prevention, with research indicating that expectancy challenge and life skills interventions being potentially efficacious. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.