Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30399500›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2019

Historical trends in the grade of onset and sequence of cigarette, alcohol, and marijuana use among adolescents from 1976-2016: Implications for "Gateway" patterns in adolescence.

Katherine M Keyes, Caroline Rutherford, Richard Miech

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Katherine M KeyesDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA; Center for Research on Society and Health, Universidad Mayor, Santiago, Chile. Electronic address: kmk2104@columbia.edu.
Caroline RutherfordDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Richard MiechInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Richard A Miech · 1985 to 2026
$144.9M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIn the past decade, marijuana use prevalence among adolescents has remained relatively steady while cigarette and alcohol prevalence has declined. We examined historical trends in: average grade of onset of marijuana, alcohol, and cigarette use by 12

methodsData were drawn from 40 yearly, cross-sectional surveys of 12

resultsAverage grade of first alcohol and cigarette use by 12

conclusionMarijuana is increasingly the first substance in the sequence of adolescent drug use. Reducing adolescent smoking has been a remarkable achievement of the past 20 years; those who continue to smoke are at higher risk for progression to marijuana use.

Indexed as

Adolescent BehaviorAdolescentAlcohol DrinkingCigarette SmokingCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMarijuana UsePrevalenceStudentsSubstance-Related DisordersAdolescentAlcoholGatewayMarijuanaMonitoring the FutureTobacco

Identifiers

PMID30399500
PMCPMC6390293

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.