Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30397300›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2018

China's tuberculosis epidemic stems from historical expansion of four strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosis.

Qingyun Liu, Aijing Ma, Lanhai Wei, Yu Pang, Beibei Wu, Tao Luo, Yang Zhou, Hong-Xiang Zheng, Qi Jiang, Mingyu Gan and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 88 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
88citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

88 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Quantifying the community transmission ofEmerging microbes & infections · 2026
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  16. Sentinel-Site-Based Surveillance ofAntibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
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  19. Molecular and Transmission Characteristics ofInfection and drug resistance · 2025
    Article
  20. Article

28 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Qingyun LiuKey Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology, Ministry of Education and Health, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Aijing MaNational Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Lanhai WeiState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering and Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Contemporary Anthropology, School of Life Sciences and Institutes of Biomedical Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yu PangNational Tuberculosis Clinical Laboratory, Beijing Key Laboratory for Drug Resistance Tuberculosis Research, Beijing Tuberculosis and Thoracic Tumor Research Institute, Beijing Chest Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Beibei WuThe Institute of TB Control, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China.
Tao LuoWest China School of Basic Medical Sciences and Forensic Medicines, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Yang ZhouNational Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Hong-Xiang ZhengState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering and Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Contemporary Anthropology, School of Life Sciences and Institutes of Biomedical Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Qi JiangKey Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology, Ministry of Education and Health, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3872-6312
Mingyu GanKey Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology, Ministry of Education and Health, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Tianyu ZuoKey Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology, Ministry of Education and Health, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Mei LiuKey Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology, Ministry of Education and Health, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Chongguang YangKey Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology, Ministry of Education and Health, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Li JinState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering and Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Contemporary Anthropology, School of Life Sciences and Institutes of Biomedical Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Iñaki ComasInstitute of Biomedicine of Valencia, CSIC and CIBER in Epidemiology and Public Health, Valencia, Spain.
Sebastien GagneuxSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland.
Yanlin ZhaoNational Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China. zhaoyanlin@chinatb.org.
Caitlin S PepperellDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA. cspepper@medicine.wisc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6324-1333
Qian GaoKey Laboratory of Medical Molecular Virology, Ministry of Education and Health, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. qgao99@yahoo.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8489-3672

Funding

Drifting to victory: resolving the paradox of M.tuberculosis evolutionR01AI113287 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Caitlin S Pepperell · 2015 to 2026
$6.5M
European Research Council 638553NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI113287
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A small number of high-burden countries account for the majority of tuberculosis cases worldwide. Detailed data are lacking from these regions. To explore the evolutionary history of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in China-the country with the third highest tuberculosis burden-we analysed a countrywide collection of 4,578 isolates. Little genetic diversity was detected, with 99.4% of the bacterial population belonging to lineage 2 and three sublineages of lineage 4. The deeply rooted phylogenetic positions and geographic restriction of these four genotypes indicate that their populations expanded in situ following a small number of introductions to China. Coalescent analyses suggest that these bacterial subpopulations emerged in China around 1,000 years ago, and expanded in parallel from the twelfth century onwards, and that the whole population peaked in the late eighteenth century. More recently, sublineage L2.3, which is indigenous to China and exhibited relatively high transmissibility and extensive global dissemination, came to dominate the population dynamics of M. tuberculosis in China. Our results indicate that historical expansion of four M. tuberculosis strains shaped the current tuberculosis epidemic in China, and highlight the long-term genetic continuity of the indigenous M. tuberculosis population.

Indexed as

EpidemicsGenotypeBiological EvolutionChinaMycobacterium tuberculosisPhylogenyPopulation DynamicsPrevalenceTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID30397300
PMCPMC6295914

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.