Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30386004›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Statistical Association2018

On the Null Distribution of Bayes Factors in Linear Regression.

Quan Zhou, Yongtao Guan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Abundant Parent-of-origin Effect eQTL: The Framingham Heart Study.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  3. The Bayesian lens and Bayesian blinkers.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2023
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. BayesSMILES: Bayesian Segmentation Modeling for Longitudinal Epidemiological Studies.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Quan ZhouBaylor College of Medicine.
Yongtao GuanBaylor College of Medicine.

Funding

Incorporating Local Haplotype Sharing to Detect Genetic AssociationsR01HG008157 · NHGRI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI GUAN, YONGTAO · 2015 to 2018
$1.5M
NHGRI NIH HHS R01 HG008157
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We show that under the null, the 2 log(Bayes factor) is asymptotically distributed as a weighted sum of chi-squared random variables with a shifted mean. This claim holds for Bayesian multi-linear regression with a family of conjugate priors, namely, the normal-inverse-gamma prior, the g-prior, and the normal prior. Our results have three immediate impacts. First, we can compute analytically a p-value associated with a Bayes factor without the need of permutation. We provide a software package that can evaluate the p-value associated with Bayes factor efficiently and accurately. Second, the null distribution is illuminating to some intrinsic properties of Bayes factor, namely, how Bayes factor quantitatively depends on prior and the genesis of Bartlett's paradox. Third, enlightened by the null distribution of Bayes factor, we formulate a novel scaled Bayes factor that depends less on the prior and is immune to Bartlett's paradox. When two tests have an identical p-value, the test with a larger power tends to have a larger scaled Bayes factor, a desirable property that is missing for the (unscaled) Bayes factor.

Indexed as

p-valuescaled Bayes factorweighted sum of chi-squared random variables

Identifiers

PMID30386004
PMCPMC6205752

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.