Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30379686›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2018

Viremia copy-years and mortality among combination antiretroviral therapy-initiating HIV-positive individuals: how much viral load history is enough?

Ruibin Wang, Sabina A Haberlen, Frank J Palella, Michael J Mugavero, Joseph B Margolick, Bernard J C Macatangay, Otoniel Martínez-Maza, Lisa P Jacobson, Alison G Abraham

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07728214 (Reminder-enhanced Incentive Spirometry Evaluation), which is not on this map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07728214 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Reminder-enhanced Incentive Spirometry Evaluation (RISE)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of Colorado, DenverRan2026 to 2029Enrolled88ConditionsHypoxemiaArmsAlarms ON
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  7. Observational
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  11. Incident Non-AIDS Comorbidity Burden Among Women With or at Risk for Human Immunodeficiency Virus in the United States.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
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  13. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ruibin WangDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Sabina A HaberlenDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Frank J PalellaDivision of Infectious Diseases, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois.
Michael J MugaveroDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
Joseph B MargolickDepartment of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Bernard J C MacatangayDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Microbiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Otoniel Martínez-MazaDepartment of Obstetrics & Gynecology, Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, California.
Lisa P JacobsonDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Alison G AbrahamDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.

Funding

NATURAL HISTORY OF AIDS IN HOMOSEXUAL MENU01AI035040 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI DETELS, ROGER, MARTINEZ-MAZA, OTONIEL · 1993 to 2018
$75.2M
University of Pittsburgh Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS)U01AI035041 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI MARTINSON, JEREMY JAMES, RINALDO, CHARLES R · 1993 to 2018
$71.4M
Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Richard E. Chaisson · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
MULTICENTER AIDS COHORT STUDYU01AI035039 · NIAID · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI WOLINSKY, STEVEN M · 1993 to 2018
$66.4M
Multicenter Aids Cohort Study- Part B (Baltimore Site)U01AI035042 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI BROWN, TODD T, MARGOLICK, JOSEPH B. · 1993 to 2018
$61.5M
Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
QAQC Johns Hopkins Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR003098 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2019 to 2023
$57.7M
Center for the Analysis & Management of the Multicenter AIDS Cohort StudyUM1AI035043 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI D'SOUZA, GYPSYAMBER, JACOBSON, LISA P · 2012 to 2018
$20.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR003098NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI035039NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI035040NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI035041NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI035042NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI035043
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveOngoing HIV replication while receiving combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) may reduce survival. Viremia copy-years (VCY) has shown improved mortality risk prediction over single time-point viral load measures. However, the timing of a patient's viral load history most associated with later mortality has not been studied. Here we determined the optimal duration and temporality of viral load history for predicting mortality.

designSurvival analysis among HIV-positive men who initiated cART in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (1995-2015).

methodsVCY measures were derived from area-under-the-viral load-curve. The overall VCY based upon the complete post-cART viral load history was compared with 20 VCYs derived from viral loads assessed during different shorter time periods (the most recent 1-10 years and initial 1-10 years following cART initiation) for associations with mortality.

resultsEach 10-fold increase in VCYs based on the most recent 3-8 years was significantly associated with 23-26% decrease in survival times, a magnitude of effect greater than that of the most recent viral load (16%). These associations were independent of CD4 cell count and single time-point viral loads. In addition, the degree of pre-cART immunodeficiency did not affect the mortality prognostic value of VCY based on viral loads in the most recent 3 years. Conversely, the overall VCY and VCYs based on viral loads immediately following cART initiation were not independent predictors of mortality.

conclusionAmong cART-treated men, VCY based upon viral loads in the recent 3 years (six viral loads) has a mortality prognostic value greater than that of the overall VCY and single time-point viral loads, making the former a more feasible measure for use.

Indexed as

Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveViral LoadAdultAnti-Retroviral AgentsHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesSurvival AnalysisTime FactorsViremiaAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID30379686
PMCPMC6535334

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.