Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30374903›Full record

ArticleEating and weight disorders : EWD2018

Predictors of the transition from metabolically healthy obesity to unhealthy obesity.

Luisa Gilardini, Antonella Zambon, Davide Soranna, Marina Croci, Cecilia Invitti

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In one paragraph

Article in Eating and weight disorders : EWD, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Obesity paradox and aging.Eating and weight disorders : EWD · 2021
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Luisa GilardiniDipartimento di Scienza Mediche e Riabilitative, Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Via Ariosto 13, 20145, Milan, Italy. l.gilardini@auxologico.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2546-0439
Antonella ZambonDipartimento di Statistica e Metodi Quantitativi, Università Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Davide SorannaIstituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
Marina CrociDipartimento di Scienza Mediche e Riabilitative, Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Via Ariosto 13, 20145, Milan, Italy.
Cecilia InvittiDipartimento di Scienza Mediche e Riabilitative, Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Via Ariosto 13, 20145, Milan, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeEvidence that metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) is a stable benign condition is unclear. The aim of this study was to estimate the transition of MHO subjects to unhealthy obesity (occurrence of cardio-metabolic events and/or risk factors) and its predictors.

methodsWe conducted an explorative follow-up study in a subset of MHO patients > 40 years without any cardio-metabolic risk factors and with normal LDL cholesterol (LDLc) levels, identified among 1530 obese patients. Due to the low sample size, a bootstrap approach was applied to identify the variables to be included in the final multivariate discrete-time logit model.

resultsThe prevalence of MHO was 3.7%. During the follow-up (mean 6.1 years, SD 2.0), none of the MHO reported cardiovascular events, diabetes or prediabetes; 26 subjects developed risk factors (53% high LDLc and 50% hypertension). At the 6 and 12-year of follow-up, the cumulative incidence of transition to unhealthy obesity was 44% (95% CI 31-59%) and 62% (95% CI 45-79%), the incidence of high LDLc was 23% (95% CI 13-37%) and 40% (95% CI 25-59%) and that of hypertension was 20% (95% CI 11-33%) and 30% (95% CI 17-48%). LDLc and duration of follow-up were independent predictors of the transition from MHO to unhealthy obesity [OR 1.038 (1.005-1.072) and 1.360 (1.115-1.659)].

conclusionsResults suggest that (a) MHO individuals do not move over time forward diabetes/prediabetes but develop risk factors, such as hypertension and higher LDL c that worsen the cardiovascular prognosis; (b) LDLc and the flow of time independently predict the transition to unhealthy status. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, cohort study.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexAdultBlood GlucoseCholesterol, LDLDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedObesityObesity, Metabolically BenignPrevalenceRisk FactorsBlood GlucoseCholesterol, LDLFollow-up studyHypertensionLDL cholesterolMetabolically healthy obesity

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.