SynthesisThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews2018
Antibiotics for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Synthesis in The Cochrane database of systematic reviews, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06929767 (Biomarker Guided Decision-making in Acute Exacerbation of COPD), which is not on this map. Cited by 55 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Biomarker Guided Decision-making in Acute Exacerbation of COPD: a Feasibility Study
Who cites it
55 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Point-of-care biomarkers or laboratory-based tests to reduce antibiotic prescribing for COPD exacerbations: a literature review and meta-analysis in primary care.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2026Pooled it
- Costs of management of acute respiratory infections in older adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of global health · 2022Pooled it
- Shufeng Jiedu capsules for treating acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC complementary medicine and therapies · 2020Pooled it
- Effect of Telemonitoring on Moderate and Severe Exacerbations in Patients with COPD: Pooled Analysis of Two Randomized Controlled Trials in Denmark.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2025Trial
- Combination antibiotic therapy versus monotherapy in the treatment of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: an open-label randomized trial.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Trial
- Factors influencing antibiotic use in confirmed viral respiratory tract infections.The Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy · 2026Observational
- The gut-lung axis in COPD: immunomodulatory roles of gut microbiota and novel therapeutic strategies.Frontiers in immunology · 2026Review
- Penicillin Allergy Labels, Broad-Spectrum Antibiotic Use, and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations: A Population-Based Cohort Study from China.Infection and drug resistance · 2026Article
- Automated Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Phenotyping and Control Assessment in Primary Care: Retrospective Multicenter Study Using the Seleida Model.JMIR medical informatics · 2025Article
- Compliance with the national and WHO antibiotic treatment guidelines for respiratory tract infections and their association with clinical and economic outcomes in Vietnam: an observational study.JAC-antimicrobial resistance · 2025Article
- We Need to Talk About Quality of Life with Cancer Patients: Primum Non Nocere in Oncology.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2025Article
- Analyzing mechanisms of qing fei bao yuan decoction granules in treating COPD based on LC-MS, network pharmacology and in vivo methods.Journal of traditional and complementary medicine · 2025Article
- Risk Factors forAntibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- The use of the Prospector calculator reduces antibiotic therapy in exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Reducing Hospital Readmissions in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients: Current Treatments and Preventive Strategies.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2025Review
- Impact of Educational Films on Antibiotic Prescription among Physicians: A Web-Based Survey in Japan.Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Mapping the evidence about the natural history of acute infections commonly seen in primary care and managed with antibiotics: a scoping review.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Article
- The use of antibiotics in the early stage of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in patients without obvious signs of infection: a multicenter, randomized, parallel-controlled study.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2024Article
- Phenotypes, Etiotypes, and Endotypes of Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
- Update of
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundMany patients with an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are treated with antibiotics. However, the value of antibiotics remains uncertain, as systematic reviews and clinical trials have shown conflicting results.
objectivesTo assess effects of antibiotics on treatment failure as observed between seven days and one month after treatment initiation (primary outcome) for management of acute COPD exacerbations, as well as their effects on other patient-important outcomes (mortality, adverse events, length of hospital stay, time to next exacerbation). SEARCH
methodsWe searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), in the Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, Embase, and other electronically available databases up to 26 September 2018. SELECTION CRITERIA: We sought to find randomised controlled trials (RCTs) including people with acute COPD exacerbations comparing antibiotic therapy and placebo and providing follow-up of at least seven days. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently screened references and extracted data from trial reports. We kept the three groups of outpatients, inpatients, and patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) separate for benefit outcomes and mortality because we considered them to be clinically too different to be summarised as a single group. We considered outpatients to have a mild to moderate exacerbation, inpatients to have a severe exacerbation, and ICU patients to have a very severe exacerbation. When authors of primary studies did not report outcomes or study details, we contacted them to request missing data. We calculated pooled risk ratios (RRs) for treatment failure, Peto odds ratios (ORs) for rare events (mortality and adverse events), and mean differences (MDs) for continuous outcomes using random-effects models. We used GRADE to assess the quality of the evidence. The primary outcome was treatment failure as observed between seven days and one month after treatment initiation. MAIN
resultsWe included 19 trials with 2663 participants (11 with outpatients, seven with inpatients, and one with ICU patients).For outpatients (with mild to moderate exacerbations), evidence of low quality suggests that currently available antibiotics statistically significantly reduced the risk for treatment failure between seven days and one month after treatment initiation (RR 0.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56 to 0.94; I² = 31%; in absolute terms, reduction in treatment failures from 295 to 212 per 1000 treated participants, 95% CI 165 to 277). Studies providing older antibiotics not in use anymore yielded an RR of 0.69 (95% CI 0.53 to 0.90; I² = 31%). Evidence of low quality from one trial in outpatients suggested no effects of antibiotics on mortality (Peto OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.49 to 3.30). One trial reported no effects of antibiotics on re-exacerbations between two and six weeks after treatment initiation. Only one trial (N = 35) reported health-related quality of life but did not show a statistically significant difference between treatment and control groups.Evidence of moderate quality does not show that currently used antibiotics statistically significantly reduced the risk of treatment failure among inpatients with severe exacerbations (i.e. for inpatients excluding ICU patients) (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.38 to 1.12; I² = 50%), but trial results remain uncertain. In turn, the effect was statistically significant when trials included older antibiotics no longer in clinical use (RR 0.76, 95% CI 0.58 to 1.00; I² = 39%). Evidence of moderate quality from two trials including inpatients shows no beneficial effects of antibiotics on mortality (Peto OR 2.48, 95% CI 0.94 to 6.55). Length of hospital stay (in days) was similar in antibiotic and placebo groups.The only trial with 93 patients admitted to the ICU showed a large and statistically significant effect on treatment failure (RR 0.19, 95% CI 0.08 to 0.45; moderate-quality evidence; in absolute terms, reduction in treatment failures from 565 to 107 per 1000 treated participants, 95% CI 45 to 254). Results of this trial show a statistically significant effect on mortality (Peto OR 0.21, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.72; moderate-quality evidence) and on length of hospital stay (MD -9.60 days, 95% CI -12.84 to -6.36; low-quality evidence).Evidence of moderate quality gathered from trials conducted in all settings shows no statistically significant effect on overall incidence of adverse events (Peto OR 1.20, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.63; moderate-quality evidence) nor on diarrhoea (Peto OR 1.68, 95% CI 0.92 to 3.07; moderate-quality evidence). AUTHORS'
conclusionsResearchers have found that antibiotics have some effect on inpatients and outpatients, but these effects are small, and they are inconsistent for some outcomes (treatment failure) and absent for other outcomes (mortality, length of hospital stay). Analyses show a strong beneficial effect of antibiotics among ICU patients. Few data are available on the effects of antibiotics on health-related quality of life or on other patient-reported symptoms, and data show no statistically significant increase in the risk of adverse events with antibiotics compared to placebo. These inconsistent effects call for research into clinical signs and biomarkers that can help identify patients who would benefit from antibiotics, while sparing antibiotics for patients who are unlikely to experience benefit and for whom downsides of antibiotics (side effects, costs, and multi-resistance) should be avoided.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.