Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30369323›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2018

Estimated Life Expectancy Without Recurrent Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Vascular Disease: The SMART-REACH Model.

Lotte Kaasenbrood, Deepak L Bhatt, Jannick A N Dorresteijn, Peter W F Wilson, Ralph B D'Agostino, Joseph M Massaro, Yolanda van der Graaf, Maarten J M Cramer, L Jaap Kappelle, Gert J de Borst and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Cardiovascular risk assessment in daily clinical practice: when and how to use a risk score.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Lotte Kaasenbrood1 Department of Vascular Medicine University Medical Centre Utrecht The Netherlands.
Deepak L Bhatt2 Brigham and Women's Hospital Heart & Vascular Center Harvard Medical School Boston MA.
Jannick A N Dorresteijn1 Department of Vascular Medicine University Medical Centre Utrecht The Netherlands.
Peter W F Wilson3 Atlanta VAMC Epidemiology and Genomic Medicine and Emory Clinical Cardiovascular Research Institute Atlanta GA.
Ralph B D'Agostino4 Department of Biostatistics Boston University School of Public Health Boston MA.
Joseph M Massaro4 Department of Biostatistics Boston University School of Public Health Boston MA.
Yolanda van der Graaf5 Julius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care University Medical Centre Utrecht The Netherlands.
Maarten J M Cramer6 Department of Cardiology University Medical Centre Utrecht The Netherlands.
L Jaap Kappelle7 Department of Neurology University Medical Centre Utrecht The Netherlands.
Gert J de Borst8 Department of Vascular Surgery University Medical Centre Utrecht The Netherlands.
Ph Gabriel Steg9 FACT, DHU FIRE Hôpital Bichat AP-HP and INSERM U-1148 Université Paris-Diderot Paris France.
Frank L J Visseren1 Department of Vascular Medicine University Medical Centre Utrecht The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background In patients with vascular disease, risk models may support decision making on novel risk reducing interventions, such as proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors or anti-inflammatory agents. We developed and validated an innovative model to estimate life expectancy without recurrent cardiovascular events for individuals with coronary, cerebrovascular, and/or peripheral artery disease that enables estimation of preventive treatment effect in lifetime gained. Methods and Results Study participants originated from prospective cohort studies: the SMART (Secondary Manifestations of Arterial Disease) cohort and REACH (Reduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health) cohorts of 14 259 ( REACH Western Europe), 19 170 ( REACH North America) and 6959 ( SMART , The Netherlands) patients with cardiovascular disease. The SMART-REACH model to estimate life expectancy without recurrent events was developed in REACH Western Europe as a Fine and Gray competing risk model incorporating cardiovascular risk factors. Validation was performed in REACH North America and SMART . Outcomes were (1) cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular death) and (2) noncardiovascular death. Predictors were sex, smoking, diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, creatinine, number of cardiovascular disease locations, atrial fibrillation, and heart failure. Calibration plots showed high agreement between estimated and observed prognosis in SMART and REACH North America. C-statistics were 0.68 (95% confidence interval, 0.67-0.70) in SMART and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.66-0.68) in REACH North America. Performance of the SMART-REACH model was better compared with existing risk scores and adds the possibility of estimating lifetime gained by novel therapies. Conclusions The externally validated SMART-REACH model could be used for estimation of anticipated improvements in life expectancy without recurrent cardiovascular events in individual patients with cardiovascular disease in Western Europe and North America.

Indexed as

Cerebrovascular DisordersCoronary Artery DiseaseLife ExpectancyPeripheral Arterial DiseaseAgedCohort StudiesDecision Support TechniquesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRecurrenceRisk AssessmentSecondary Preventionlife expectancyprognosisrisk stratificationsecondary preventiontreatment effect

Identifiers

PMID30369323
PMCPMC6201391

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.