Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30356264›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Abortion in Zimbabwe: A national study of the incidence of induced abortion, unintended pregnancy and post-abortion care in 2016.

Elizabeth A Sully, Mugove Gerald Madziyire, Taylor Riley, Ann M Moore, Marjorie Crowell, Margaret Tambudzai Nyandoro, Bernard Madzima, Tsungai Chipato

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Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Elizabeth A SullyGuttmacher Institute, New York, New York, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-0736-2237
Mugove Gerald MadziyireUniversity of Zimbabwe College of Health Science-Clinical Trials Unit (UZCHS-CTU), Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID 0000-0002-9450-3180
Taylor RileyGuttmacher Institute, New York, New York, United States of America.
Ann M MooreGuttmacher Institute, New York, New York, United States of America.
Marjorie CrowellGuttmacher Institute, New York, New York, United States of America.
Margaret Tambudzai NyandoroZimbabwe Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Bernard MadzimaZimbabwe Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Tsungai ChipatoUniversity of Zimbabwe College of Health Science-Clinical Trials Unit (UZCHS-CTU), Harare, Zimbabwe.

Funding

Research Infrastructure for Demographic and Behavioral Population Science Dissemination CoreR24HD074034 · NICHD · GUTTMACHER INSTITUTE · PI KOST, KATHRYN L · 2013 to 2017
$462k
NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD074034
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundZimbabwe has the highest contraceptive prevalence rate in sub-Saharan Africa, but also one of the highest maternal mortality ratios in the world. Little is known, however, about the incidence of abortion and post-abortion care (PAC) in Zimbabwe. Access to legal abortion is rare, and limited to circumstances of rape, incest, fetal impairment, or to save the woman's life.

objectivesThis paper estimates a) the national provision of PAC, b) the first-ever national incidence of induced abortion in Zimbabwe, and c) the proportion of pregnancies that are unintended.

methodsWe use the Abortion Incidence Complications Method (AICM), which indirectly estimates the incidence of induced abortion by obtaining a national estimate of PAC cases, and then estimates what proportion of all induced abortions in the country would result in women receiving PAC. Three national surveys were conducted in 2016: a census of health facilities with PAC capacity (n = 227), a prospective survey of women seeking abortion-related care in a nationally-representative sample of those facilities (n = 127 facilities), and a purposive sample of experts knowledgeable about abortion in Zimbabwe (n = 118). The estimate of induced abortion, along with census and Demographic Health Survey data was used to estimate unintended pregnancy.

resultsThere were an estimated 25,245 PAC patients treated in Zimbabwe in 2016, but there were critical gaps in their care, including stock-outs of essential PAC medicines at half of facilities. Approximately 66,847 induced abortions (uncertainty interval (UI): 54,000-86,171) occurred in Zimbabwe in 2016, which translates to a national rate of 17.8 (UI: 14.4-22.9) abortions per 1,000 women 15-49. Overall, 40% of pregnancies were unintended in 2016, and one-quarter of all unintended pregnancies ended in abortion.

conclusionZimbabwe has one of the lowest abortion rates in sub-Saharan Africa, likely due to high rates of contraceptive use. There are gaps in the health care system affecting the provision of quality PAC, potentially due to the prolonged economic crisis. These findings can inform and improve policies and programs addressing unsafe abortion and PAC in Zimbabwe.

Indexed as

Abortion, InducedPregnancy, UnplannedAbortion, LegalAbortion, SpontaneousAdolescentAdultCensusesFemaleHealth SurveysHumansMaternal MortalityPregnancyProspective StudiesZimbabwe

Identifiers

PMID30356264
PMCPMC6200425

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.