Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30355705›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2018

Modelling determinants of extinction across two Mesozoic hyperthermal events.

Alexander M Dunhill, William J Foster, Sandro Azaele, James Sciberras, Richard J Twitchett

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. From skylight cues to magnetic fields: the toolkit of insect long-distance navigation.Journal of comparative physiology. A, Neuroethology, sensory, neural, and behavioral physiology · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. How predictable are mass extinction events?Royal Society open science · 2023
    Article
  9. Improving the relevance of paleontology to climate change policy.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Conservation evidence from climate-related stressors in the deep-time marine fossil record.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Review
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Alexander M DunhillSchool of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK a.dunhill@leeds.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-8680-9163
William J FosterMuseum für Naturkunde, Leibniz-Institut für Evolutions- und Biodiversitätsforschung, Berlin, Deutschland.ORCID 0000-0002-9595-8195
Sandro AzaeleSchool of Mathematics, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5153-4833
James SciberrasOnCorps, Exeter House, Lower Station Approach, Temple Meads, Bristol BS1 6QS, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5919-0329
Richard J TwitchettDepartment of Earth Sciences, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Late Triassic and Early Toarcian extinction events are both associated with greenhouse warming events triggered by massive volcanism. These Mesozoic hyperthermals were responsible for the mass extinction of marine organisms and resulted in significant ecological upheaval. It has, however, been suggested that these events merely involved intensification of background extinction rates rather than significant shifts in the macroevolutionary regime and extinction selectivity. Here, we apply a multivariate modelling approach to a vast global database of marine organisms to test whether extinction selectivity varied through the Late Triassic and Early Jurassic. We show that these hyperthermals do represent shifts in the macroevolutionary regime and record different extinction selectivity compared to background intervals of the Late Triassic and Early Jurassic. The Late Triassic mass extinction represents a more profound change in selectivity than the Early Toarcian extinction but both events show a common pattern of selecting against pelagic predators and benthic photosymbiotic and suspension-feeding organisms, suggesting that these groups of organisms may be particularly vulnerable during episodes of global warming. In particular, the Late Triassic extinction represents a macroevolutionary regime change that is characterized by (i) the change in extinction selectivity between Triassic background intervals and the extinction event itself; and (ii) the differences in extinction selectivity between the Late Triassic and Early Jurassic as a whole.

Indexed as

Aquatic OrganismsBiological EvolutionClimate ChangeExtinction, BiologicalHot TemperatureFossilsModels, BiologicalPaleontologyhyperthermalmass extinctionMesozoicmodellingpalaeoecology

Identifiers

PMID30355705
PMCPMC6234883

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.