Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30355641›Full record

ArticleThorax2019

Effect of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on invasive disease in older adults of 10 European countries: implications for adult vaccination.

Germaine Hanquet, Pavla Krizova, Palle Valentiner-Branth, Shamez N Ladhani, J Pekka Nuorti, Agnes Lepoutre, Jolita Mereckiene, Mirjam Knol, Brita A Winje, Pilar Ciruela and 21 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Thorax, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 77 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
77citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

77 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Trial
  7. Trial
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Community-acquired bacterial meningitis in Southern Sweden 2013-2023: a population-based study of incidence, aetiology and diagnostic yield.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2026
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
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  17. Recommendations on PCV20 vaccine in adults and at-risk populations.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Investigating two decades ofMicrobial genomics · 2025
    Article

17 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors.

Germaine HanquetEpiConcept, Paris, France.
Pavla KrizovaNational Institute of Public Health, Prague, Czech Republic.
Palle Valentiner-BranthStatens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Shamez N LadhaniPublic Health England, London, UK.
J Pekka NuortiNational Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Agnes LepoutreSanté publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.
Jolita MereckieneHealth Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin, Ireland.
Mirjam KnolNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Brita A WinjeNorwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Pilar CiruelaPublic Health Agency of Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain.
Maria OrdobasGeneral Directorate of Public Health, Madrid, Spain.
Marcela GuevaraCIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Madrid, Spain.
Eisin McDonaldHealth Protection Scotland, National Services Scotland, Glasgow, UK.
Eva MorfeldtPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Jana KozakovaNational Institute of Public Health, Prague, Czech Republic.
Hans-Christian SlotvedStatens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Norman K FryPublic Health England, London, UK.
Hanna Rinta-KokkoNational Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Emmanuelle VaronNational Centre for Pneumococci, European Hospital George Pompidou, Paris, France.
Mary CorcoranIrish Pneumococcal Reference Laboratory, Temple Street Children's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland.
Arie van der EndeNetherlands Reference Laboratory for Bacterial Meningitis, Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Didrik F VestrheimNorwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Carmen Munoz-AlmagroCIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Madrid, Spain.
Pello LatasaGeneral Directorate of Public Health, Madrid, Spain.
Jesus CastillaCIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Madrid, Spain.
Andrew SmithScottish Haemophilus, Legionella, Meningococcus and Pneumococcus Reference Laboratory, Glasgow, UK.
Birgitta Henriques-NormarkPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Robert WhittakerEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden.
Lucia Pastore CelentanoEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden.
Camelia SavulescuEpiConcept, Paris, France.
SpIDnet/I-MOVE+ Pneumo Group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have the potential to prevent pneumococcal disease through direct and indirect protection. This multicentre European study estimated the indirect effects of 5-year childhood PCV10 and/or PCV13 programmes on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in older adults across 13 sites in 10 European countries, to support decision-making on pneumococcal vaccination policies.

methodsFor each site we calculated IPD incidence rate ratios (IRR) in people aged ≥65 years by serotype for each PCV10/13 year (2011-2015) compared with 2009 (pre-PCV10/13). We calculated pooled IRR and 95% CI using random-effects meta-analysis and PCV10/13 effect as (1 - IRR)*100.

resultsAfter five PCV10/13 years, the incidence of IPD caused by all types, PCV7 and additional PCV13 serotypes declined 9% (95% CI -4% to 19%), 77% (95% CI 67% to 84%) and 38% (95% CI 19% to 53%), respectively, while the incidence of non-PCV13 serotypes increased 63% (95% CI 39% to 91%). The incidence of serotypes included in PCV13 and not in PCV10 decreased 37% (95% CI 22% to 50%) in six PCV13 sites and increased by 50% (95% CI -8% to 146%) in the four sites using PCV10 (alone or with PCV13). In 2015, PCV13 serotypes represented 20-29% and 32-53% of IPD cases in PCV13 and PCV10 sites, respectively.

conclusionOverall IPD incidence in older adults decreased moderately after five childhood PCV10/13 years in 13 European sites. Large declines in PCV10/13 serotype IPD, due to the indirect effect of childhood vaccination, were countered by increases in non-PCV13 IPD, but these declines varied according to the childhood vaccine used. Decision-making on pneumococcal vaccination for older adults must consider the indirect effects of childhood PCV programmes. Sustained monitoring of IPD epidemiology is imperative.

Indexed as

AgedEuropeFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMalePneumococcal VaccinesRetrospective StudiesSerogroupStreptococcus pneumoniaeVaccination10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccinePneumococcal Vaccinesbacterial infectionclinical epidemiology

Identifiers

PMID30355641
PMCPMC6484683

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.