Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30351372›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2019

Declining Incidence of Invasive Meningococcal Disease in South Africa: 2003-2016.

Susan Meiring, Cheryl Cohen, Linda de Gouveia, Mignon du Plessis, Ranmini Kularatne, Anwar Hoosen, Ruth Lekalakala, Sarona Lengana, Sharona Seetharam, Preneshni Naicker and 6 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Excess Invasive Meningococcal Disease Associated With Seasonal Influenza, South Africa, 2003-2018.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection Is Associated With Increased Meningococcal Carriage Acquisition Among First-year Students in 2 South African Universities.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Article
  10. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Susan MeiringDivision of Public Health Surveillance and Response, National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD), a Division of the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), Johannesburg.
Cheryl CohenSchool of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg.
Linda de GouveiaCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, NICD, a Division of the NHLS, Johannesburg.
Mignon du PlessisCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, NICD, a Division of the NHLS, Johannesburg.
Ranmini KularatneCentre for HIV and STI, NICD, a Division of the NHLS, Johannesburg.
Anwar HoosenFree State Province, South Africa.
Ruth LekalakalaDepartment of Medical Microbiology, NHLS and University of Limpopo, Polokwane.
Sarona LenganaCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, NICD, a Division of the NHLS, Johannesburg.
Sharona SeetharamLancet Laboratories, Johannesburg.
Preneshni NaickerLancet Laboratories, Cape Town.
Vanessa QuanDivision of Public Health Surveillance and Response, National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD), a Division of the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), Johannesburg.
Gary ReubensonRahima Moosa Mother & Child Hospital, Empilweni Service & Research Unit, Department of Paediatrics & Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg.
Stefano TempiaInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Claire von MollendorfSchool of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg.
Anne von GottbergCentre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, NICD, a Division of the NHLS, Johannesburg.
GERMS-SA
University of the Witwatersrand · ZANational Health Laboratory Service · ZAUniversity of Limpopo · ZALancet Laboratories · ZAUniversity of Cape Town · ZACenters for Disease Control and Prevention · US

Funding

CGH CDC HHS U19 GH000571NCIRD CDC HHS U51 IP000528
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInvasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is endemic to South Africa, where vaccine use is negligible. We describe the epidemiology of IMD in South Africa.

methodsIMD cases were identified through a national, laboratory-based surveillance program, GERMS-SA, from 2003-2016. Clinical data on outcomes and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) statuses were available from 26 sentinel hospital sites. We conducted space-time analyses to detect clusters of serogroup-specific IMD cases.

resultsOver 14 years, 5249 IMD cases were identified. The incidence was 0.97 cases per 100 000 persons in 2003, peaked at 1.4 cases per 100 000 persons in 2006, and declined to 0.23 cases per 100 000 persons in 2016. Serogroups were confirmed in 3917 (75%) cases: serogroup A was present in 4.7% of cases, B in 23.3%, C in 9.4%; W in 49.5%; Y in 12.3%, X in 0.3%; Z in 0.1% and 0.4% of cases were non-groupable. We identified 8 serogroup-specific, geo-temporal clusters of disease. Isolate susceptibility was 100% to ceftriaxone, 95% to penicillin, and 99.9% to ciprofloxacin. The in-hospital case-fatality rate was 17% (247/1479). Of those tested, 36% (337/947) of IMD cases were HIV-coinfected. The IMD incidence in HIV-infected persons was higher for all age categories, with an age-adjusted relative risk ratio (aRRR) of 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-2.8; P < .001) from 2012-2016. No patients reported previous meningococcal vaccine exposure. Patients with serogroup W were 3 times more likely to present with severe disease than those with serogroup B (aRRR 2.7, 95% CI 1.1-6.3); HIV coinfection was twice as common with W and Y diseases (aRRR W = 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-2.9; aRRR Y = 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.4).

conclusionsIn the absence of significant vaccine use, IMD in South Africa decreased by 76% from 2003-2016. HIV was associated with an increased risk of IMD, especially for serogroup W and Y diseases.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAnti-Bacterial AgentsChildChild, PreschoolCoinfectionFemaleHIV InfectionsHospital MortalityHumansIncidenceMaleMeningococcal InfectionsMicrobial Sensitivity TestsMiddle AgedAnti-Bacterial Agentsepidemiologyinvasive meningococcal diseasemeningococcusNeisseriaSouth Africa

Identifiers

PMID30351372
PMCPMC7848805
OpenAlexW2898577694

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.