Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30340513›Full record

ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2018

Spatial and temporal clustering analysis of tuberculosis in the mainland of China at the prefecture level, 2005-2015.

Meng-Yang Liu, Qi-Huan Li, Ying-Jie Zhang, Yuan Ma, Yue Liu, Wei Feng, Cheng-Bei Hou, Endawoke Amsalu, Xia Li, Wei Wang and 2 more

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Identification of persistent clusters and temporal trends of glanders in horses throughout Brazil.Brazilian journal of microbiology : [publication of the Brazilian Society for Microbiology] · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Meng-Yang LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Qi-Huan LiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Ying-Jie ZhangChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Yuan MaDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Yue LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Wei FengDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Cheng-Bei HouDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Endawoke AmsaluDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Xia LiDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, La Trobe University, Melbourne, 3086, Australia.
Wei WangSchool of Medical Sciences and Health, Edith Cowan University, WA6027, Perth, Australia.
Wei-Min LiBeijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China. lwm_18@aliyun.com.
Xiu-Hua GuoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China. statguo@ccmu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6657-6940

Funding

the National S&T Major Project 2014ZX10004005-001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTuberculosis (TB) is still one of the most serious infectious diseases in the mainland of China. So it was urgent for the formulation of more effective measures to prevent and control it.

methodsThe data of reported TB cases in 340 prefectures from the mainland of China were extracted from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP) during January 2005 to December 2015. The Kulldorff's retrospective space-time scan statistics was used to identify the temporal, spatial and spatio-temporal clusters of reported TB in the mainland of China by using the discrete Poisson probability model. Spatio-temporal clusters of sputum smear-positive (SS+) reported TB and sputum smear-negative (SS-) reported TB were also detected at the prefecture level.

resultsA total of 10 200 528 reported TB cases were collected from 2005 to 2015 in 340 prefectures, including 5 283 983 SS- TB cases and 4 631 734 SS + TB cases with specific sputum smear results, 284 811 cases without sputum smear test. Significantly TB clustering patterns in spatial, temporal and spatio-temporal were observed in this research. Results of the Kulldorff's scan found twelve significant space-time clusters of reported TB. The most likely spatio-temporal cluster (RR = 3.27, P <  0.001) was mainly located in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of western China, covering five prefectures and clustering in the time frame from September 2012 to November 2015. The spatio-temporal clustering results of SS+ TB and SS- TB also showed the most likely clusters distributed in the western China. However, the clustering time of SS+ TB was concentrated before 2010 while SS- TB was mainly concentrated after 2010.

conclusionsThis study identified the time and region of TB, SS+ TB and SS- TB clustered easily in 340 prefectures in the mainland of China, which is helpful in prioritizing resource assignment in high-risk periods and high-risk areas, and to formulate powerful strategy to prevention and control TB.

Indexed as

ChinaGeography, MedicalHistory, 21st CenturyHumansPublic Health SurveillanceSeasonsSpatio-Temporal AnalysisTuberculosisChinaPrefectureSaTscanSpace-time clusterTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID30340513
PMCPMC6195697

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.