Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30339684›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Modeling the impact of obesity on the lifetime risk of chronic kidney disease in the United States using updated estimates of GFR progression from the CRIC study.

Benjamin O Yarnoff, Thomas J Hoerger, Sundar S Shrestha, Siobhan K Simpson, Nilka R Burrows, Amanda H Anderson, Dawei Xie, Hsiang-Yu Chen, Meda E Pavkov, CRIC Study Investigators

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Management of Obesity in Adults with CKD.Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN · 2021
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Benjamin O YarnoffRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-5147-1588
Thomas J HoergerRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.
Sundar S ShresthaCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Siobhan K SimpsonRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.
Nilka R BurrowsCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Amanda H AndersonTulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1454-4282
Dawei XieUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Hsiang-Yu ChenUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Meda E PavkovCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
CRIC Study Investigators

Funding

UCSF CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTEUL1RR024131 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JOHNSTON, S. CLAIBORNE · 2006 to 2011
$111.2M
Scientific and Data Coordinating Center(SDCC) for the P*U01DK060990 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI FELDMAN, HAROLD I · 2001 to 2017
$50.1M
Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of ClevelandUL1TR000439 · NCATS · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI KONSTAN, MICHAEL W. · 2012 to 2016
$50.0M
Michigan Institute for Clinical and Health Research (MCHR)UL1TR000433 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MASHOUR, GEORGE ALEXANDER · 2012 to 2016
$49.9M
Institutional Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000003 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI FITZGERALD, GARRET A · 2012 to 2015
$38.9M
Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of ClevelandUL1TR002548 · NCATS · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI MCCOMSEY, GRACE A · 2018 to 2022
$35.5M
Strengthening Stakeholder Engagement in Human Research Protections.UL1TR002003 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI KARNIK, NIRANJAN SUBHASH, MERMELSTEIN, ROBIN J. · 2016 to 2024
$33.7M
Tulane COBRE in Cardiometabolic Diseases Clinical Research CoreP20GM109036 · NIGMS · TULANE UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA · PI Ning Liu · 2016 to 2026
$25.3M
Continuation of the Coordinating Center for the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) StudyU24DK060990 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI Amanda Hyre Anderson, Laura M Dember · 2018 to 2026
$21.5M
Study of the Care and Outcomes of REnal InsufficiencyU01DK060902 · NIDDK · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GO, ALAN S · 2001 to 2025
$19.5M
Limited Competition for the Continuation of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency CohorU01DK061021 · NIDDK · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI RAHMAN, MAHBOOB · 2001 to 2025
$17.3M
Prospective Renal Insufficiency Cohort Evaluation:PRICEU01DK060984 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI COHEN, DEBBIE L · 2001 to 2025
$17.0M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000003NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000424NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000433NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000439NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002003NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002548NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024131NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR029879NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK139225NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060902NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060963NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060980NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060984NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK060990NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061021NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061028NIDDK NIH HHS U24 DK060990NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM109036
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

RATIONALE &

objectiveAs the prevalence of obesity continues to rise in the United States, it is important to understand its impact on the lifetime risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD). STUDY

designThe CKD Health Policy Model was used to simulate the lifetime risk of CKD for those with and without obesity at baseline. Model structure was updated for glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline to incorporate new longitudinal data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. SETTING AND POPULATION: The updated model was populated with a nationally representative cohort from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). OUTCOMES: Lifetime risk of CKD, highest stage and any stage. MODEL, PERSPECTIVE, & TIMEFRAME: Simulation model following up individuals from current age through death or age 90 years.

resultsLifetime risk of any CKD stage was 32.5% (95% CI 28.6%-36.3%) for persons with normal weight, 37.6% (95% CI 33.5%-41.7%) for persons who were overweight, and 41.0% (95% CI 36.7%-45.3%) for persons with obesity at baseline. The difference between persons with normal weight and persons with obesity at baseline was statistically significant (p<0.01). Lifetime risk of CKD stages 4 and 5 was higher for persons with obesity at baseline (Stage 4: 2.1%, 95% CI 0.9%-3.3%; stage 5: 0.6%, 95% CI 0.0%-1.1%), but the differences were not statistically significant (stage 4: p = 0.08; stage 5: p = 0.23). LIMITATIONS: Due to limited data, our simulation model estimates are based on assumptions about the causal pathways from obesity to CKD, diabetes, and hypertension.

conclusionsThe results of this study indicate that obesity may have a large impact on the lifetime risk of CKD. This is important information for policymakers seeking to set priorities and targets for CKD prevention and treatment.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsBody Mass IndexComputer SimulationDisease ProgressionFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedModels, BiologicalNutrition SurveysObesity

Identifiers

PMID30339684
PMCPMC6195263

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.