Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30322922›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2018

Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web.

Bradford C Lister, Andres Garcia

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 168 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
168citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
80.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

168 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 728 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
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  9. Arthropod species loss underpins biomass declines.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Why just fly?Fly · 2025
    Review
  12. Food webs can deliver win-win strategies for tropical agroforestry and biodiversity conservation.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Effects of land cover and protected areas on flying insect diversity.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
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  20. Article

108 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Bradford C ListerDepartment of Biological Sciences, Rensselaer Polytechnic University, Troy, NY 12180; listeb@rpi.edu.
Andres GarciaEstación de Biología Chamela, Instituto de Biología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, 47152 Chamela, Jalisco, Mexico.
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute · USUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de México · MX

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A number of studies indicate that tropical arthropods should be particularly vulnerable to climate warming. If these predictions are realized, climate warming may have a more profound impact on the functioning and diversity of tropical forests than currently anticipated. Although arthropods comprise over two-thirds of terrestrial species, information on their abundance and extinction rates in tropical habitats is severely limited. Here we analyze data on arthropod and insectivore abundances taken between 1976 and 2012 at two midelevation habitats in Puerto Rico's Luquillo rainforest. During this time, mean maximum temperatures have risen by 2.0 °C. Using the same study area and methods employed by Lister in the 1970s, we discovered that the dry weight biomass of arthropods captured in sweep samples had declined 4 to 8 times, and 30 to 60 times in sticky traps. Analysis of long-term data on canopy arthropods and walking sticks taken as part of the Luquillo Long-Term Ecological Research program revealed sustained declines in abundance over two decades, as well as negative regressions of abundance on mean maximum temperatures. We also document parallel decreases in Luquillo's insectivorous lizards, frogs, and birds. While El Niño/Southern Oscillation influences the abundance of forest arthropods, climate warming is the major driver of reductions in arthropod abundance, indirectly precipitating a bottom-up trophic cascade and consequent collapse of the forest food web.

Indexed as

AnimalsArthropodsBiodiversityBiomassBirdsEcosystemEl Nino-Southern OscillationFood ChainForestsPuerto RicoRainforestTreesTropical Climatearthropodsbottom-up cascadeclimate warmingfood webrainforest

Identifiers

PMID30322922
PMCPMC6217376
OpenAlexW2896548525

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.