Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30321313›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2019

Differences in the Impact of Pneumococcal Serotype Replacement in Individuals With and Without Underlying Medical Conditions.

Daniel M Weinberger, Joshua L Warren, Tine Dalby, Eugene D Shapiro, Palle Valentiner-Branth, Hans-Christian Slotved, Zitta Barrella Harboe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Change in the distribution ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Genomic epidemiology ofMicrobial genomics · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Observational
  12. Chronic Disease and Immunosuppression Increase the Risk for Nonvaccine Serotype Pneumococcal Disease: A Nationwide Population-based Study.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Observational
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Daniel M WeinbergerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.
Joshua L WarrenDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.
Tine DalbyDepartment of Bacteria, Parasites and Fungi, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Eugene D ShapiroDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.
Palle Valentiner-BranthInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut.
Hans-Christian SlotvedDepartment of Bacteria, Parasites and Fungi, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Zitta Barrella HarboeDepartment of Bacteria, Parasites and Fungi, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Yale Study Support Suite (YES3): Dashboard and Web Portal Software Supporting Research Workflow through integrated, customizable REDCap External ModulesP30AG021342 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Denise Esserman · 2002 to 2026
$37.9M
Yale University Clinical and Translational Science Award ProgramUL1TR000142 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SHERWIN, ROBERT S · 2012 to 2015
$31.8M
Yale University Clinical and Translational Science Award ProgramKL2TR000140 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SHERWIN, ROBERT S · 2012 to 2015
$2.9M
Forecasting pneumococcal serotype frequencies to develop adult-specific vaccinesR01AI123208 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI WEINBERGER, DANIEL MARTIN · 2016 to 2019
$2.5M
Forecasting pneumococcal serotype frequencies to develop adult-specific vaccinesR56AI110449 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI WEINBERGER, DANIEL MARTIN · 2015 to 2015
$427k
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000140NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000142NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI123208NIAID NIH HHS R56 AI110449NIA NIH HHS P30 AG021342
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have had a well-documented impact on the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). However, declines in IPD due to vaccine-targeted serotypes have been partially offset by increases in IPD due to nonvaccine serotypes (NVTs). The goal of this study was to quantify serotype-specific changes in the incidence of IPD that occurred in different age groups, with or without certain comorbidities, following the introduction of 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in the childhood vaccination program in Denmark.

methodsWe used nationwide surveillance data for IPD and a hierarchical Bayesian regression framework to estimate changes in the incidence of IPD associated with the introduction of PCV7 (2007) and PCV13 (2010) while controlling for serotype-specific epidemic cycles and unrelated secular trends.

resultsFollowing the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13 in children, the net impact of serotype replacement varied considerably by age group and comorbidities. Differences in the magnitude of serotype replacement were due to variations in the incidence of NVTs in the different risk groups before the introduction of PCVs. The relative increases in the incidence of IPD caused by specific NVTs did not differ appreciably between risk groups in the postvaccination period. Serotype replacement offset a greater proportion of the benefit of PCVs in strata in which the NVTs comprised a larger proportion of cases prior to the introduction of the vaccines.

conclusionsThese findings could help to predict the impact of next-generation PCVs in specific risk groups.

Indexed as

Immunization ProgramsAdolescentAdultAgedBayes TheoremChildChild, PreschoolDenmarkHeptavalent Pneumococcal Conjugate VaccineHumansImmunologic SurveillanceIncidenceMiddle AgedPneumococcal InfectionsPneumococcal VaccinesRegistries13-valent pneumococcal vaccineHeptavalent Pneumococcal Conjugate VaccinePneumococcal VaccinesBayesian hierarchical modelconjugate vaccinespneumococcusserotype replacement

Identifiers

PMID30321313
PMCPMC6579958

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.