Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30316935›Full record

ArticleJACC. Heart failure2018

Adiposity and Incident Heart Failure and its Subtypes: MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).

Vishal N Rao, Di Zhao, Matthew A Allison, Eliseo Guallar, Kavita Sharma, Michael H Criqui, Mary Cushman, Roger S Blumenthal, Erin D Michos

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JACC. Heart failure, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00005487 (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), which is not on this map. Cited by 119 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
119citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
10.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00005487 active not recruitingnot on this map

Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

TypeobservationalSponsorNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI)Ran1999 to 2030Enrolled6,418ConditionsAtherosclerosis, Cardiovascular Diseases, Heart Diseases, Coronary Artery Disease
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

119 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 188 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. The effect of bariatric surgery on patient reported outcomes of heart failure in women: a pilot study.Surgery for obesity and related diseases : official journal of the American Society for Bariatric Surgery · 2026
    Article
  12. Observational
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
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  17. Greater amounts of visceral adipose and lean body mass increase heart failure risk in older women.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2026
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

59 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Vishal N RaoCiccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; Division of Cardiology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.
Di ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Matthew A AllisonDivision of Preventive Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Eliseo GuallarDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Kavita SharmaCiccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.
Michael H CriquiDivision of Preventive Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Mary CushmanDivision of Hematology, University of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont.
Roger S BlumenthalCiccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.
Erin D MichosCiccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland. Electronic address: edonnell@jhmi.edu.
Johns Hopkins University · USUniversity of California San Diego · USUniversity of Vermont · US

Funding

Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
Wake Forest Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR001420 · NCATS · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI ARD, JAMY D, FOLEY, KRISTIE L · 2015 to 2023
$32.3M
Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000040 · NCATS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2012 to 2015
$26.2M
Abdominal Body Composition, Inflammation and Cardiovascular DiseaaseR01HL088451 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ALLISON, MATTHEW A · 2007 to 2011
$2.5M
Cigarette Smoke and Susceptibility to Influenza InfectionR01HL095163 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JASPERS, ILONA, NOAH, TERRY L · 2009 to 2013
$2.0M
Adjunctive Use of Apyrase to Fibrinolytic TherapyR44HL095169 · NHLBI · APT THERAPEUTICS, INC. · PI CHEN, RIDONG · 2012 to 2013
$1.3M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDYN01HC095166 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1999 to 2001
$758k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-FIELD CENTERN01HC095162 · HC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SZKLO, MOYSES A · 1999 to 2000
$694k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095161 · HC · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHEA, STEVEN · 1999 to 2001
$642k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095165 · HC · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY · PI BURKE, GREGORY L · 1999 to 2001
$616k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095160 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SAAD, MOHAMMED F · 1999 to 2001
$592k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-FIELD CENTERN01HC095164 · HC · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY · PI LIU, KIANG JOHN · 1999 to 2001
$511k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001420NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095160NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095161NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095162NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095163NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095164NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095165NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095166NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095167NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095168NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095169NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL088451
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study sought to compare various measures of adiposity with risk for incident hospitalized heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).

backgroundObesity is a risk factor for HF, particularly HFpEF. It is unknown which measures of adiposity, including anthropometrics and computed tomography (CT)-measured fat area, are most predictive of HF subtypes.

methodsThe authors studied 1,806 participants of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) study without baseline cardiovascular disease who underwent anthropometrics (body mass index [BMI] and waist circumference) and an abdominal CT. Subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) were measured from a single CT slice at L2-L3. Cox hazard models were used to examine associations of adiposity with incident hospitalized HFpEF and HFrEF events. Fully adjusted models included demographics, HF risk factors, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide.

resultsOver a mean follow-up of 11 years, there were 34 HFpEF and 36 HFrEF events. The fully adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) per 1-SD higher of each anthropometric and CT-measured adiposity measures for incident HFpEF were as follows: BMI HR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.12 to 2.45; waist circumference HR: 1.59; 95% CI: 1.05 to 2.40; and VAT HR: 2.24; 95% CI: 1.44 to 3.49. None of these adiposity measures were associated with HFrEF. Even among overweight/obese adults (BMI ≥25 kg/m

conclusionsIn a multiethnic cohort free of cardiovascular disease, CT-measured VAT was independently associated with incident hospitalized HFpEF but not HFrEF. Measuring visceral fat at the time of CT imaging for other indications may offer additional prognostication of HF risk. (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis [MESA]; NCT00005487).

Indexed as

EthnicityAbdomenAdipose TissueAdiposityAnthropometryAtherosclerosisBody Mass IndexHeart FailureHumansStroke VolumeTomography, X-Ray Computedanthropometryheart failureHFpEFobesityvisceral adiposity

Identifiers

PMID30316935
PMCPMC6269197
OpenAlexW2897696001

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.