Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30312371›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences2019

Declining Incident Dementia Rates Across Four Population-Based Birth Cohorts.

Kevin J Sullivan, Hiroko H Dodge, Tiffany F Hughes, Chung-Chou H Chang, Xinmei Zhu, Anran Liu, Mary Ganguli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
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  6. Review
  7. 2024 Alzheimer's disease facts and figures.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2024
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Decreasing Incidence and Prevalence of Dementia Among Octogenarians: A Population-Based Study on 3 Cohorts Born 30 Years Apart.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Markers of Brain Health in a Biracial Middle-Aged Cohort: CARDIA Brain MRI Sub-study.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2020
    Article
  20. Depression Symptoms Declining Among Older Adults: Birth Cohort Analyses From the Rust Belt.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kevin J SullivanDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Hiroko H DodgeMichigan Alzheimer's Disease Center, Department of Neurology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Tiffany F HughesDepartment of Sociology, Anthropology, and Gerontology, Youngstown State University, Ohio.
Chung-Chou H ChangDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Xinmei ZhuDepartment of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Anran LiuDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Mary GanguliDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

Funding

Research Education ComponentP30AG066518 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI KEVIN M DUFF, Lisa C Silbert · 2020 to 2026
$28.6M
Outreach, Recruitment and Education CoreP30AG008017 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI DODGE, HIROKO HAYAMA · 1990 to 2019
$27.7M
Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Core CenterP30AG053760 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LIEBERMAN, ANDREW P · 2016 to 2020
$10.1M
TRAINING IN THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF AGINGT32AG000181 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI STROTMEYER, ELSA S. · 1989 to 2025
$6.2M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG008017NIA NIH HHS P30 AG053760NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066518NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000181
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIncidence rates of dementia appear to be declining in high-income countries according to several large epidemiological studies. We aimed to describe declining incident dementia rates across successive birth cohorts in a U.S. population-based sample and to explore the influences of sex and education on these trends.

methodsWe pooled data from two community-sampled prospective cohort studies with similar study aims and contiguous sampling regions: the Monongahela Valley Independent Elders Survey (1987-2001) and the Monongahela-Youghiogheny Healthy Aging Team (2006-Ongoing). We identified four decade-long birth cohorts spanning birth years 1902-1941. In an analysis sample of 3,010 participants (61% women, mean baseline age = 75.7 years, mean follow-up = 7.1 years), we identified 257 cases of incident dementia indicated by a Clinical Dementia Rating of 1.0 or higher. We used Poisson regression to model incident dementia rates by birth cohort, age, sex, education, and interactions of Sex × Cohort and Sex × Education. We further examined whether cohort effects varied by education, testing a Cohort × Education interaction and stratifying the models by education.

resultsCompared to the earliest birth cohort (1902-1911), each subsequent cohort had a significantly lower incident dementia rate (1912-1921: incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.655, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 0.477-0.899; 1922-1931: IRR = 0.387, 95% CI = 0.265-0.564; 1932-1941: IRR = 0.233, 95% CI = 0.121-0.449). We observed no significant interactions of either sex or education with birth cohort.

conclusionsA decline in incident dementia rates was observed across successive birth cohorts independent of sex, education, and age.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesDementiaEducational StatusFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleProspective StudiesUnited StatesCognitionCognitive agingCommunity-basedEpidemiology

Identifiers

PMID30312371
PMCPMC6696712

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.