Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30312304›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Dynamic responses and implications to coastal wetlands and the surrounding regions under sea level rise.

Karim Alizad, Scott C Hagen, Stephen C Medeiros, Matthew V Bilskie, James T Morris, Len Balthis, Christine A Buckel

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Karim AlizadLouisiana State University, Center for Coastal Resiliency, Baton Rouge, Los Angeles, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-9174-0164
Scott C HagenLouisiana State University, Center for Coastal Resiliency, Center for Computation & Technology, Department of Civil, and Environmental Engineering, Baton Rouge, Los Angeles, United States of America.
Stephen C MedeirosUniversity of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering, Orlando, Florida, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0264-5868
Matthew V BilskieLouisiana State University, Center for Coastal Resiliency, Baton Rouge, Los Angeles, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7697-7403
James T MorrisDepartment of Biological Sciences and Belle W. Baruch Institute, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, United States of America.
Len BalthisNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, Silver Spring, Maryland, United States of America.
Christine A BuckelNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, Silver Spring, Maryland, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Two distinct microtidal estuarine systems were assessed to advance the understanding of the coastal dynamics of sea level rise in salt marshes. A coupled hydrodynamic-marsh model (Hydro-MEM) was applied to both a marine-dominated (Grand Bay, Mississippi) and a mixed fluvial/marine (Weeks Bay, Alabama) system to compute marsh productivity, marsh migration, and potential tidal inundation from the year 2000 to 2100 under four sea level rise scenarios. Characteristics of the estuaries such as geometry, sediment availability, and topography, were compared to understand their role in the dynamic response to sea level rise. The results show that the low sea level rise scenario (20 cm) approximately doubled high-productivity marsh coverage in the marine-dominated estuary by the year 2100 due to an equilibrium between the rates of sea level rise and marsh platform accretion. Under intermediate-low sea level rise (50 cm), high-productivity marsh coverage in the year 2100 increased (doubled in the marine-dominated estuary and a seven-fold increase in the mixed estuary) by expanding into higher lands followed by the creation of interior ponds. The results also indicate that marine-dominated estuaries are vulnerable to collapse as a result of low, relatively uniform topography and lack of sediment sources, whereas mixed estuaries are able to expand due to higher elevations and sediment inputs. The results from the higher sea level rise scenarios (the intermediate-high (120 cm) and high (200 cm)) showed expansion of the bays along with marsh migration to higher land, producing a five-fold increase in wetland coverage for the mixed estuary and virtually no net change for the marine-dominated estuary. Additionally, hurricane storm surge simulations showed that under higher sea level rise scenarios, the marine-dominated estuary demonstrated weaker peak stage attenuation indicating that the marsh's ability to dissipate storm surge is sensitive to productivity changes and bay expansion / marsh loss.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeWetlandsAlabamaBaysBiomassComputer SimulationConservation of Natural ResourcesCyclonic StormsEstuariesGeologic SedimentsGulf of AmericaHydrodynamicsMississippiModels, TheoreticalPonds

Identifiers

PMID30312304
PMCPMC6185723

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.