Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30310172›Full record

Trial reportScientific reports2018

Bayesian spatiotemporal analysis for association of environmental factors with hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangdong, China.

Zhicheng Du, Wayne R Lawrence, Wangjian Zhang, Dingmei Zhang, Shicheng Yu, Yuantao Hao

Abstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Zhicheng DuDepartment of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology & Health Information Research Center & Guangdong Key Laboratory of Medicine, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1155-8443
Wayne R LawrenceDepartment of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology & Health Information Research Center & Guangdong Key Laboratory of Medicine, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2992-5897
Wangjian ZhangDepartment of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology & Health Information Research Center & Guangdong Key Laboratory of Medicine, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Dingmei ZhangDepartment of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology & Health Information Research Center & Guangdong Key Laboratory of Medicine, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Shicheng YuChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Yuantao HaoDepartment of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology & Health Information Research Center & Guangdong Key Laboratory of Medicine, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China. haoyt@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 81473064
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) remains a significant public health and economic burden in parts of China, particularly Guangdong Province. Although the association between meteorological factors and HFMD has been well documented, significant gaps remain in our understanding of the potential impact of environmental factors. Using county-level monthly HFMD data from China CDC and environmental data from multiple sources, we used spatiotemporal Bayesian models to evaluate the association between HFMD and environmental factors including vegetation index, proportion of artificial surface, road capacity, temperature and humidity, and assessed the spatial and temporal dynamic of the association. Statistically significant correlation coefficients from -0.056 to 0.36 (all P < 0.05) were found between HFMD incidence and all environmental factors. The contributions of these factors for HFMD incidence were estimated to be 16.32%, 12.31%, 14.61%, 13.53%, and 2.63%. All environmental factors including vegetation index (Relative Risk: 0.889; Credible Interval: 0.883-0.895), artificial surface (1.028; 1.022-1.034), road capacity (1.033; 1.028-1.038), temperature (1.039; 1.028-1.05), and relative humidity (1.015; 1.01-1.021) were statistically retained in the final spatiotemporal model. More comprehensive environmental factors were identified as associating with HFMD incidence. Taking these environmental factors into consideration for prevention and control strategy might be of great practical significance.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalBayes TheoremChinaFemaleHand, Foot and Mouth DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMeteorological ConceptsRisk FactorsSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID30310172
PMCPMC6181968

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.