Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30306355›Full record

ArticleCancer causes & control : CCC2018

Mendelian randomization does not support serum calcium in prostate cancer risk.

James Yarmolinsky, Katie Berryman, Ryan Langdon, Carolina Bonilla, PRACTICAL consortium, George Davey Smith, Richard M Martin, Sarah J Lewis

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer causes & control : CCC, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

James YarmolinskyMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Katie BerrymanMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Ryan LangdonMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Carolina BonillaMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
PRACTICAL consortium
George Davey SmithMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Richard M MartinMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Sarah J LewisMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. S.J.Lewis@bristol.ac.uk.
University of Bristol · GBMRC Epidemiology Unit · GBNational Institute for Health Research · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 19169Cancer Research UK C18281/A19169Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/5Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/2Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/3
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeObservational studies suggest that dietary and serum calcium are risk factors for prostate cancer. However, such studies suffer from residual confounding (due to unmeasured or imprecisely measured confounders), undermining causal inference. Mendelian randomization uses randomly assigned (hence unconfounded and pre-disease onset) germline genetic variation to proxy for phenotypes and strengthen causal inference in observational studies. We tested the hypothesis that serum calcium is associated with an increased risk of overall and advanced prostate cancer.

methodsA genetic instrument was constructed using five single-nucleotide polymorphisms robustly associated with serum calcium in a genome-wide association study (n ≤ 61,079). This instrument was then used to test the effect of a 0.5 mg/dL increase (1 standard deviation, SD) in serum calcium on risk of prostate cancer in 72,729 men in the PRACTICAL (Prostate Cancer Association Group to Investigate Cancer Associated Alterations in the Genome) Consortium (44,825 cases, 27,904 controls) and risk of advanced prostate cancer in 33,498 men (6,263 cases, 27,235 controls).

resultsWe found weak evidence for a protective effect of serum calcium on prostate cancer risk (odds ratio [OR] per 0.5 mg/dL increase in calcium: 0.83, 95% CI 0.63-1.08; p = 0.12). We did not find strong evidence for an effect of serum calcium on advanced prostate cancer (OR per 0.5 mg/dL increase in calcium: 0.98, 95% CI 0.57-1.70; p = 0.93).

conclusionsOur Mendelian randomization analysis does not support the hypothesis that serum calcium increases risk of overall or advanced prostate cancer.

Indexed as

Mendelian Randomization AnalysisCalciumCalcium, DietaryGenetic VariationGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleOdds RatioPhenotypePolymorphism, Single NucleotideProstatic NeoplasmsRisk FactorsCalciumCalcium, DietaryCalciumDietMendelian randomizationNutritionProstate cancer

Identifiers

PMID30306355
PMCPMC6245088
OpenAlexW2952312743

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.