Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30303884›Full record

ArticleDiseases of the colon and rectum2018

What Is the Risk of Anal Carcinoma in Patients With Anal Intraepithelial Neoplasia III?

Grace C Lee, Hiroko Kunitake, Holly Milch, Lieba R Savitt, Caitlin E Stafford, Liliana G Bordeianou, Todd D Francone, Rocco Ricciardi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diseases of the colon and rectum, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 58 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Radiation therapy in anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions-a pattern of care analysis in German-speaking countries.Strahlentherapie und Onkologie : Organ der Deutschen Rontgengesellschaft ... [et al] · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. High-grade intraepithelial lesions of the anus-patience: A road to wisdom.Colorectal disease : the official journal of the Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland · 2025
    Article
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  14. Review
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  20. Opportunistic detection of anal intraepithelial neoplasia at colonoscopy.JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Grace C LeeSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Division of General and Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
Hiroko Kunitake
Holly Milch
Lieba R Savitt
Caitlin E Stafford
Liliana G Bordeianou
Todd D Francone
Rocco Ricciardi
Massachusetts General Hospital · US

Funding

RESEARCH TRAINING IN ALIMENTARY TRACT SURGERYT32DK007754 · NIDDK · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HODIN, RICHARD A. · 1997 to 2025
$6.5M
NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007754
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe risk of anal carcinoma after previous diagnosis of anal intraepithelial neoplasia III is unclear.

objectiveThe purpose of this study was to estimate the risk of anal carcinoma in patients with anal intraepithelial neoplasia III and to identify predictors for subsequent malignancy.

designThis was a retrospective review using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry (1973-2014).

settingThe study was composed of population-based cancer registries from the United States. PATIENTS: Patients who were diagnosed with anal intraepithelial neoplasia III were included.

main outcome measuresThe primary outcome was rate of subsequent anal squamous cell carcinoma. Predictors for anal cancer were identified using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models.

resultsA total of 2074 patients with anal intraepithelial neoplasia III were identified and followed for a median time of 4.0 years (interquartile range, 1.8-6.7 y). Of the cohort, 171 patients (8.2%) subsequently developed anal cancer. Median time from anal intraepithelial neoplasia III diagnosis to anal cancer diagnosis was 2.7 years (interquartile range, 1.1-4.5 y). Fifty-two patients (30.4%) who developed anal carcinoma were staged T2 or higher. Ablative therapies for initial anal intraepithelial neoplasia III were associated with a reduction in the risk of anal cancer (OR = 0.3 (95% CI, 0.1-0.7); p = 0.004). Time-to-event analysis revealed that the 5-year incidence of anal carcinoma after anal intraepithelial neoplasia III was 9.5% or ≈1.9% per year. LIMITATIONS: The registry did not record HIV status, surveillance schedule, use of high-resolution anoscopy, or provider specialty.

conclusionsIn the largest published cohort of patients with anal intraepithelial neoplasia III, ≈10% of patients were projected to develop anal cancer within 5 years. Nearly one third of anal cancers were diagnosed at stage T2 or higher despite a previous diagnosis of anal intraepithelial neoplasia III. Ablative procedures were associated with a decreased risk of cancer. This study highlights the considerable rate of malignancy in patients with anal intraepithelial neoplasia III and the need for effective therapies and surveillance. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A764.

Indexed as

Anus NeoplasmsCarcinoma in SituAblation TechniquesAdultAge FactorsCarcinoma, Squamous CellDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMarital StatusMiddle AgedNeoplasms, Second PrimaryNeoplasm StagingRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID30303884
PMCPMC6219933
OpenAlexW2896717142

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.