Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30301895›Full record

ArticleNature communications2018

Genetic signature to provide robust risk assessment of psoriatic arthritis development in psoriasis patients.

Matthew T Patrick, Philip E Stuart, Kalpana Raja, Johann E Gudjonsson, Trilokraj Tejasvi, Jingjing Yang, Vinod Chandran, Sayantan Das, Kristina Callis-Duffin, Eva Ellinghaus and 17 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 75 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
75citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

75 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  16. Global epidemiology of spondyloarthritis.Nature reviews. Rheumatology · 2025
    Review
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  19. Article
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15 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

Matthew T PatrickDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6174-9002
Philip E StuartDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Kalpana RajaDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Johann E GudjonssonDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Trilokraj TejasviDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Jingjing YangDepartment of Biostatistics, Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4191-4138
Vinod ChandranDepartment of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, M5G 2C4, Canada.
Sayantan DasDepartment of Biostatistics, Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6346-1590
Kristina Callis-DuffinDepartment of Dermatology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, 84132, USA.
Eva EllinghausInstitute of Clinical Molecular Biology, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Kiel, 24105, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2914-3382
Charlotta EnerbäckDepartment of Dermatology, Linköping University, Linköping, SE-581 83, Sweden.
Tõnu EskoEstonian Genome Center, University of Tartu, Tartu, 51010, Estonia.
Andre FrankeInstitute of Clinical Molecular Biology, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Kiel, 24105, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1530-5811
Hyun M KangDepartment of Biostatistics, Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Gerald G KruegerDepartment of Dermatology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, 84132, USA.
Henry W LimDepartment of Dermatology, Henry Ford Hospital, Detroit, 48202, MI, USA.
Proton RahmanMemorial University, St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador, A1B 3X9, Canada.
Cheryl F RosenDivision of Dermatology, Toronto Western Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, M5G 2C4, Ontario, Canada.
Stephan WeidingerDepartment of Dermatology, University Medical Center Schleswig-Holstein, Campus Kiel, Kiel, 24105, Germany.
Michael WeichenthalDepartment of Dermatology, University Medical Center Schleswig-Holstein, Campus Kiel, Kiel, 24105, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9060-4961
Xiaoquan WenDepartment of Biostatistics, Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
John J VoorheesDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Gonçalo R AbecasisDepartment of Biostatistics, Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Dafna D GladmanDepartment of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, M5G 2C4, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9074-0592
Rajan P NairDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
James T ElderDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA.
Lam C TsoiDepartment of Dermatology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, 48109, MI, USA. alextsoi@med.umich.edu.

Funding

Linkage analysis of familial psoriasis(Supplement)R01AR042742 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ELDER, JAMES TILFORD · 1994 to 2021
$10.1M
Genetic and Genomic Dissection of Psoriatic ArthritisR01AR063611 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ELDER, JAMES TILFORD, GLADMAN, DAFNA D · 2012 to 2023
$6.2M
Identification of Psoriatic Arthritis Genes in the MHCR01AR050511 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ELDER, JAMES TILFORD · 2004 to 2013
$4.2M
Combined Analysis of Gene Expression and DNA Variation in PsoriasisR01AR054966 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ELDER, JAMES TILFORD · 2007 to 2011
$3.2M
Functional Genomics of PsoriasisR01AR065183 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ELDER, JAMES TILFORD · 2013 to 2016
$1.7M
Role of the Psoriasis Associated IL23R Risk Variants on Th17 Biology and FunctionK08AR060802 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI GUDJONSSON, JOHANN ELI · 2011 to 2015
$636k
Integrative Biology Approach to Identify and Characterize Roles of lncRNAs Associated with Psoriasis PathologyK01AR072129 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI TSOI, LAM CHEUNG · 2017 to 2021
$500k
NIAMS NIH HHS K01 AR072129NIAMS NIH HHS K08 AR060802NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR042742NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR050511NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR054966NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR063611NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR065183
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is a complex chronic musculoskeletal condition that occurs in ~30% of psoriasis patients. Currently, no systematic strategy is available that utilizes the differences in genetic architecture between PsA and cutaneous-only psoriasis (PsC) to assess PsA risk before symptoms appear. Here, we introduce a computational pipeline for predicting PsA among psoriasis patients using data from six cohorts with >7000 genotyped PsA and PsC patients. We identify 9 new loci for psoriasis or its subtypes and achieve 0.82 area under the receiver operator curve in distinguishing PsA vs. PsC when using 200 genetic markers. Among the top 5% of our PsA prediction we achieve >90% precision with 100% specificity and 16% recall for predicting PsA among psoriatic patients, using conditional inference forest or shrinkage discriminant analysis. Combining statistical and machine-learning techniques, we show that the underlying genetic differences between psoriasis subtypes can be used for individualized subtype risk assessment.

Indexed as

Gene Expression ProfilingRisk AssessmentArthritis, PsoriaticBiomarkersCohort StudiesEnhancer Elements, GeneticGenetic LociHumansMeta-Analysis as TopicBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID30301895
PMCPMC6177414

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.