ArticleChest2019
A Simple Clinical Risk Score (C
Article in Chest, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04657900 (Predicting Patient-level New Onset Atrial Fibrillation From Population-based Nationwide Electronic Health Records), which is not on this map. Cited by 109 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Predicting Patient-level New Onset Atrial Fibrillation From Population-based Nationwide Electronic Health Records: A Precision Medicine Investigation Using Artificial Intelligence
Who cites it
109 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 186 citations in OpenAlex.
- Bidirectional association between COPD and AF: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2026Pooled it
- Guideline
- 2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines.Journal of the American College of Cardiology · 2024Guideline
- Prediction of incident atrial fibrillation in community-based electronic health records: a systematic review with meta-analysis.Heart (British Cardiac Society) · 2022Pooled it
- Impact of COPD or Asthma on the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Pooled it
- Utility of risk prediction models to detect atrial fibrillation in screened participants.European journal of preventive cardiology · 2021Pooled it
- Association of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease With Arrhythmia Risks: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2021Pooled it
- Prediction models for atrial fibrillation applicable in the community: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2020Pooled it
- Effect of Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering on the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation.Hypertension (Dallas, Tex. : 1979) · 2020Trial
- Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiography Model for Left Ventricular Systolic and Diastolic Dysfunction Predict Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Sinus Rhythm: A Time-Dependent Analysis.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Identifying patients at low risk for atrial fibrillation after cryptogenic stroke: the PAVA score.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026Observational
- Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation Occurrence With Handheld Mobile Electrocardiogram: Deep Learning Model Development Using Real-World Data.JMIR medical informatics · 2026Article
- Accumulation of chronic conditions in patients aged <65 years diagnosed with atrial fibrillation.Heart rhythm · 2026Article
- Association between cardio-kidney-metabolic syndrome and early or very early onset atrial fibrillation.American journal of preventive cardiology · 2026Article
- Approach to the patient with severe hyperthyroidism-related complications.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2026Review
- Artificial Intelligence for Prediction and Detection of Atrial Fibrillation from Sinus-Rhythm Electrocardiograms and Ambulatory Monitoring.Biomedicines · 2026Review
- Changing patterns of the burden for atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter attributable to high systolic blood pressure in China from 1990 to 2021.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026Article
- Comment on "Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Electrocardiography for Predicting Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation From Sinus Rhythm".Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc · 2026Article
- Recent-onset atrial fibrillation: challenges and opportunities.European heart journal · 2026Review
- Predicting Incident Atrial Fibrillation after Stroke: A Scoping Review of Clinical Scores, Biomarkers, and AI-Enhanced Strategies.Cerebrovascular diseases extra · 2026Article
49 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasing, conferring a major health-care issue in Asia. No risk score for predicting incident AF has been specifically developed in Asian subjects. Our aim was to investigate risk factors for incident AF in Asian subjects and to combine them into a simple clinical risk score.
methodsRisk factors for incident AF were analyzed in 471,446 subjects from the Chinese Yunnan Insurance Database (internal derivation cohort) and then combined into a simple clinical risk score. External application of the new score was performed in 451,199 subjects from the Korean National Health Insurance Service (external cohort).
resultsIn the internal cohort, structural heart disease (SHD), heart failure (HF), age ≥ 75 years, coronary artery disease (CAD), hyperthyroidism, COPD, and hypertension were associated with incident AF. Given the low prevalence and the strong association of SHD with incident AF (hazard ratio, 26.07; 95% CI, 18.22-37.30; P < .001), these patients should be independently considered as high risk for AF and were excluded from the analysis. The remaining predictors were combined into the new simple C
conclusionsWe have developed and validated the C
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.