Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30280646›Full record

ArticleThe New England journal of medicine2018

Prediction of Susceptibility to First-Line Tuberculosis Drugs by DNA Sequencing.

CRyPTIC Consortium and the 100,000 Genomes Project, Caroline Allix-Béguec, Irena Arandjelovic, Lijun Bi, Patrick Beckert, Maryline Bonnet, Phelim Bradley, Andrea M Cabibbe, Irving Cancino-Muñoz, Mark J Caulfield and 82 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in The New England journal of medicine, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 283 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
283citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
37.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

283 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 517 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Open-access genomic drug resistance prediction tools forJournal of clinical microbiology · 2026
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  16. Extensive Endemic Transmission of Multidrug-ResistantOpen forum infectious diseases · 2026
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223 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

92 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

CRyPTIC Consortium and the 100,000 Genomes Project
Caroline Allix-Béguec
Irena Arandjelovic
Lijun Bi
Patrick Beckert
Maryline Bonnet
Phelim Bradley
Andrea M Cabibbe
Irving Cancino-Muñoz
Mark J Caulfield
Angkana Chaiprasert
Daniela M Cirillo
David A Clifton
Iñaki Comas
Derrick W Crook
Maria R De Filippo
Han de Neeling
Roland Diel
Francis A Drobniewski
Kiatichai Faksri
Maha R Farhat
Joy Fleming
Philip Fowler
Tom A Fowler
Qian Gao
Jennifer Gardy
Deborah Gascoyne-Binzi
Ana-Luiza Gibertoni-Cruz
Ana Gil-Brusola
Tanya Golubchik
Ximena Gonzalo
Louis Grandjean
Guangxue He
Jennifer L Guthrie
Sarah Hoosdally
Martin Hunt
Zamin Iqbal
Nazir Ismail
James Johnston
Faisal M Khanzada
Chiea C Khor
Thomas A Kohl
Clare Kong
Sam Lipworth
Qingyun Liu
Gugu Maphalala
Elena Martinez
Vanessa Mathys
Matthias Merker
Paolo Miotto
Nerges Mistry
David A J Moore
Megan Murray
Stefan Niemann
Shaheed V Omar
Rick T-H Ong
Tim E A Peto
James E Posey
Therdsak Prammananan
Alexander Pym
Camilla Rodrigues
Mabel Rodrigues
Timothy Rodwell
Gian M Rossolini
Elisabeth Sánchez Padilla
Marco Schito
Xin Shen
Jay Shendure
Vitali Sintchenko
Alex Sloutsky
E Grace Smith
Matthew Snyder
Karine Soetaert
Angela M Starks
Philip Supply
Prapat Suriyapol
Sabira Tahseen
Patrick Tang
Yik-Ying Teo
Thuong N T Thuong
Guy Thwaites
Enrico Tortoli
Dick van Soolingen
A Sarah Walker
Timothy M Walker
Mark Wilcox
Daniel J Wilson
David Wyllie
Yang Yang
Hongtai Zhang
Yanlin Zhao
Baoli Zhu
John Radcliffe Hospital · GB

Funding

New Tools for the interpretation of Pathogen Genomic Data with a focus on Mycobacterium tuberculosisK01ES026835 · NIEHS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI FARHAT, MAHA · 2015 to 2019
$1.1M
Medical Research Council MC_PC_16027NIEHS NIH HHS K01 ES026835Wellcome Trust 200205/Z/15/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe World Health Organization recommends drug-susceptibility testing of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex for all patients with tuberculosis to guide treatment decisions and improve outcomes. Whether DNA sequencing can be used to accurately predict profiles of susceptibility to first-line antituberculosis drugs has not been clear.

methodsWe obtained whole-genome sequences and associated phenotypes of resistance or susceptibility to the first-line antituberculosis drugs isoniazid, rifampin, ethambutol, and pyrazinamide for isolates from 16 countries across six continents. For each isolate, mutations associated with drug resistance and drug susceptibility were identified across nine genes, and individual phenotypes were predicted unless mutations of unknown association were also present. To identify how whole-genome sequencing might direct first-line drug therapy, complete susceptibility profiles were predicted. These profiles were predicted to be susceptible to all four drugs (i.e., pansusceptible) if they were predicted to be susceptible to isoniazid and to the other drugs or if they contained mutations of unknown association in genes that affect susceptibility to the other drugs. We simulated the way in which the negative predictive value changed with the prevalence of drug resistance.

resultsA total of 10,209 isolates were analyzed. The largest proportion of phenotypes was predicted for rifampin (9660 [95.4%] of 10,130) and the smallest was predicted for ethambutol (8794 [89.8%] of 9794). Resistance to isoniazid, rifampin, ethambutol, and pyrazinamide was correctly predicted with 97.1%, 97.5%, 94.6%, and 91.3% sensitivity, respectively, and susceptibility to these drugs was correctly predicted with 99.0%, 98.8%, 93.6%, and 96.8% specificity. Of the 7516 isolates with complete phenotypic drug-susceptibility profiles, 5865 (78.0%) had complete genotypic predictions, among which 5250 profiles (89.5%) were correctly predicted. Among the 4037 phenotypic profiles that were predicted to be pansusceptible, 3952 (97.9%) were correctly predicted.

conclusionsGenotypic predictions of the susceptibility of M. tuberculosis to first-line drugs were found to be correlated with phenotypic susceptibility to these drugs. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and others.).

Indexed as

Genome, BacterialWhole Genome SequencingAntitubercular AgentsDrug Resistance, BacterialEthambutolGenotypeHumansIsoniazidMicrobial Sensitivity TestsMutationMycobacterium tuberculosisPhenotypePyrazinamideRifampinTuberculosisAntitubercular AgentsEthambutolIsoniazidPyrazinamideRifampin

Identifiers

PMID30280646
PMCPMC6121966
OpenAlexW2902271181

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.