Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30277560›Full record

ArticleHealth services research2018

Sample Selection for Medicare Risk Adjustment Due to Systematically Missing Data.

Savannah L Bergquist, Thomas G McGuire, Timothy J Layton, Sherri Rose

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health services research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Savannah L BergquistHealth Policy Doctoral Program, Harvard University, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-6495-0724
Thomas G McGuireDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Timothy J LaytonDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-9626-4892
Sherri RoseDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-9076-8472

Funding

Tradeoffs in the Design of Public Long-Term Care BenefitsP01AG032952 · NIA · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI Bruce E. Landon · 2009 to 2026
$39.0M
The Center for the Global Demography of AgingP30AG024409 · NIA · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI BLOOM, DAVID E · 2004 to 2019
$7.9M
Health Policy Training Program: Promoting Outcomes, Quality, Equity and Diffusion of AdvancesT32MH019733 · NIMH · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (MEDICAL SCHOOL) · PI Benjamin Le Cook, Haiden A Huskamp · 1993 to 2026
$7.0M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG032952NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024409NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH019733NIMH NIH HHS T32-MH019733
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the issue of nonrepresentative sampling in Medicare Advantage (MA) risk adjustment. DATA SOURCES: Medicare enrollment and claims data from 2008 to 2011. DATA EXTRACTION: Risk adjustment predictor variables were created from 2008 to 2010 Part A and B claims and the Medicare Beneficiary Summary File. Spending is based on 2009-2011 Part A and B, Durable Medical Equipment, and Home Health Agency claims files. STUDY

designA propensity-score matched sample of Traditional Medicare (TM) beneficiaries who resembled MA enrollees was created. Risk adjustment formulas were estimated using multiple techniques, and performance was evaluated based on R PRINCIPAL

findingsMatching improved balance on observables, but performance metrics were similar when comparing risk adjustment formula results fit on and evaluated in the matched sample versus fit on the random sample and evaluated in the matched sample.

conclusionsFitting MA risk adjustment formulas on a random sample versus a matched sample yields little difference in MA plan payments. This does not rule out potential improvements via the matching method should reliable MA encounter data and additional variables become available for risk adjustment.

Indexed as

Data Interpretation, StatisticalMedicareMedicare Part CRisk AdjustmentAdministrative Claims, HealthcareAgedFemaleHealth ExpendituresHumansMaleUnited Statesmachine learningmedicareregressionRisk adjustment

Identifiers

PMID30277560
PMCPMC6232496

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.