ArticleGlobal change biology2018
Global projections of future cropland expansion to 2050 and direct impacts on biodiversity and carbon storage.
Article in Global change biology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed.
- Reversing the great degradation of nature by reducing factors related to cropland expansion.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Enhancing Nutritional and Functional Properties of Hydroponically Grown Underutilised Leafy Greens Through Selenium Biofortification.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Assessing the accuracy of forest above-ground biomass and carbon storage estimation by meta-analysis based close-range remote sensing.Forestry research · 2025Article
- Elucidating morphogenic and physiological traits of rice with nitrogen substitution through nano-nitrogen under salt stress conditions.BMC plant biology · 2024Article
- 3D Printing and Blue Sustainability: Taking Advantage of Process-Induced Defects for the Metallic Ion Removal from Water.Polymers · 2024Article
- Assessment of Phytomass and Carbon Stock in the Ecosystems of the Central Forest Steppe of the East European Plain: Integrated Approach of Terrestrial Environmental Monitoring and Remote Sensing with Unmanned Aerial Vehicles.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Molecular analysis of the reactions inFrontiers in plant science · 2024Article
- Mapping the spatial heterogeneity of global land use and land cover from 2020 to 2100 at a 1 km resolution.Scientific data · 2023Article
- Estimating changes of forest carbon storage in China for 70 years (1949-2018).Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Identification and interest of molecular markers to monitor plant Pi status.BMC plant biology · 2023Article
- Review
- Projecting global oil palm expansion under zero-deforestation commitments: Direct and indirect land use change impacts.iScience · 2023Article
- Accelerated cropland expansion into high integrity forests and protected areas globally in the 21st century.iScience · 2023Article
- Editorial: Metabolomics: a tool to understand plant protection against biotic and abiotic stresses.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Current trends suggest most Asian countries are unlikely to meet future biodiversity targets on protected areas.Communications biology · 2022Article
- Salt Stress Tolerance inPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Research and Innovation Opportunities to Improve Epidemiological Knowledge and Control of Environmentally Driven Zoonoses.Annals of global health · 2022Review
- Assessing the Potential Impact of Land Use on Carbon Storage Driven by Economic Growth: A Case Study in Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Biogeographic Patterns of Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Fungal Communities Along a Land-Use Intensification Gradient in the Subtropical Atlantic Forest Biome.Microbial ecology · 2021Article
- Quantifying the Effect of Land-cover Change on the Endangered Farmland Green Treefrog (Zoological studies · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Cropland expansion threatens biodiversity by driving habitat loss and impacts carbon storage through loss of biomass and soil carbon (C). There is a growing concern land-use change (LUC) to cropland will result in a loss of ecosystem function and various ecosystem services essential for human health and well-being. This paper examines projections of future cropland expansion from an integrated assessment model IMAGE 3.0 under a "business as usual" scenario and the direct impact on both biodiversity and C storage. By focusing on biodiversity hotspots and Alliance for Zero Extinction (AZE) sites, loss of habitat as well as potential impacts on endangered and critically endangered species are explored. With regards to C storage, the impact on both soil and vegetation standing C stocks are examined. We show that if projected trends are realized, there are likely to be severe consequences for these resources. Substantial loss of habitat in biodiversity hotspots such as Indo-Burma, and the Philippians is expected as well as 50% of species in AZE sites losing part of their last remaining habitat. An estimated 13.7% of vegetation standing C stocks and 4.6% of soil C stocks are also projected to be lost in areas affected with Brazil and Mexico being identified as priorities in terms of both biodiversity and C losses from cropland expansion. Changes in policy to regulate projected cropland expansion, and increased measures to protect natural resources, are highly likely to be required to prevent these biodiversity and C losses in the future.
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Registered trials
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