Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30265757›Full record

ArticleTransfusion2019

Assessment of HIV transfusion transmission risk in South Africa: a 10-year analysis following implementation of individual donation nucleic acid amplification technology testing and donor demographics eligibility changes.

Marion Vermeulen, Nico Lelie, Charl Coleman, Wendy Sykes, Genevieve Jacobs, Ronel Swanevelder, Michael Busch, Gert van Zyl, Eduard Grebe, Alex Welte and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Transfusion, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  4. Advancing blood transfusion safety using molecular detection in the country of Georgia.Transfusion clinique et biologique : journal de la Societe francaise de transfusion sanguine · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Marion VermeulenSouth African National Blood Service, Roodepoort, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0003-4383-4526
Nico LelieLelie Research, Alkmaar, The Netherlands.
Charl ColemanSouth African National Blood Service, Roodepoort, South Africa.
Wendy SykesSouth African National Blood Service, Roodepoort, South Africa.
Genevieve JacobsSouth African National Blood Service, Roodepoort, South Africa.
Ronel SwanevelderSouth African National Blood Service, Roodepoort, South Africa.
Michael BuschBlood Systems Research Institute, San Francisco, California.
Gert van ZylDivision of Medical Virology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Parow, South Africa.
Eduard GrebeDST-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA), Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Alex WelteDST-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA), Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Ravi ReddySouth African National Blood Service, Roodepoort, South Africa.

Funding

Research training in HIV-related transfusion medicine and hematology in South AfricaD43TW010345 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI UTE JENTSCH, EDWARD L MURPHY · 2017 to 2026
$3.0M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW010345
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn 1998 we estimated that 34/million infectious window period donations were entering the blood supply at the South African National Blood Service. Selective use of donations based on donor race-ethnicity reduced this risk to 26/million donations but was deemed unethical. Consequently, in 2005 South African National Blood Service eliminated race-ethnicity-based collection policies and implemented individual-donation nucleic acid testing (ID-NAT). We describe the change in donor base demographics, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) detection rates, and transfusion-transmissible HIV risk. STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsIn ten years 7.7 million donations were tested for anti-HIV and HIV RNA. Number of donations, HIV prevalence, ID-NAT yield rate, serology yield rate and residual transfusion-transmissible HIV risk were analyzed by donor type, race-ethnicity, age, and sex. Multiple regression analysis was performed to investigate the determinants of HIV-positive and nucleic acid testing yield donations.

resultsThe combined strategy of increasing donations from black donors and implementing ID-NAT increased the proportion of donations from black donors from 6% in 2005 to 30% in 2015 (p < 0.00001), and reduced the transfusion-transmissible risk from 24 to 13 per million transfusions. ID-NAT interdicted 481 (1:16,100) seronegative window period donations, while one transfusion-transmissible case (0.13 per million) was documented. Race-ethnicity and donor type were highly significant predictors of HIV positivity, with adjusted odds ratio for first-time donors of 12.5 (95% confidence interval, 11.9-13.1) and for black race-ethnicity of 31.1 (95% confidence interval, 28.9-33.4). The proportion of serology yields among HIV-infected donors increased from 0.27% to 2.4%.

conclusionID-NAT enabled the South African National Blood Service to increase the number of donations from black donors fivefold while enhancing the safety of the blood supply.

Indexed as

AdultBlood DonorsBlood TransfusionDrug Resistance, ViralFemaleGenotypeHIV InfectionsHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedNucleic Acid Amplification TechniquesRegression AnalysisSouth AfricaYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID30265757
PMCPMC10419327

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.