Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30260995›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Differences in hepatocellular carcinoma risk, predictors and trends over time according to etiology of cirrhosis.

George N Ioannou, Pamela Green, Elliott Lowy, Elijah J Mun, Kristin Berry

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
8.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 109 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Practice changing RCT design and rationale: Abbreviated MRI plus AFPJHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Exploring Cirrhosis: Insights into Advances in Therapeutic Strategies.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  9. Evolving epidemiology of HCC in Spain.JHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Liver Stiffness Measurement and Risk Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After HCV Eradication in Veterans With Cirrhosis.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

George N IoannouDivision of Gastroenterology, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Healthcare System and University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Pamela GreenHealth Services Research and Development, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Healthcare System, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Elliott LowyHealth Services Research and Development, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Healthcare System, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Elijah J MunDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6613-7518
Kristin BerryHealth Services Research and Development, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Healthcare System, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
University of Puget Sound · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Does Screening for HCC in Cirrhotic Patients Reduce HCC-related Mortality?R01CA196692 · NCI · SEATTLE INST FOR BIOMEDICAL/CLINICAL RES · PI IOANNOU, GEORGE, WEISS, NOEL S · 2015 to 2018
$985k
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA196692
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is high in cirrhosis. We sought to describe differences in HCC risk, predictors and trends over time according to etiology of cirrhosis.

methodsWe identified 116,404 patients with cirrhosis diagnosed between 2001-2014 in the VA healthcare system and determined incident HCC cases occurring from the date of cirrhosis diagnosis until 01/31/2017. Patients were divided by cirrhosis etiology into hepatitis C virus (HCV, n = 52,671), alcoholic liver disease (ALD, n = 35,730), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD, n = 17,354), or OTHER (n = 10,649).

resultsDuring a mean follow-up of 4.3 years, 10,042 new HCC cases were diagnosed. Patients with HCV had >3 times higher incidence of HCC (3.3 per 100 patient-years) than patients with ALD (0.86/100 patient-years), NAFLD (0.90/100 patient-years) or OTHER (1.0/100 patient-years), an association that persisted after adjusting for baseline characteristics. HCC incidence was 1.6 times higher in patients with cirrhosis diagnosed in 2008-2014 (2.47/100 patient-years) than in 2001-2007 (1.55/100 patient-years). Independent predictors of HCC among all cirrhosis etiologies included: age, male sex, Hispanic ethnicity, high serum alpha fetoprotein, alkaline phosphatase and AST/√ALT ratio and low serum albumin and platelet count. Diabetes was associated with HCC in ALD-cirrhosis and NAFLD-cirrhosis, and BMI in ALD-cirrhosis.

conclusionsHCC risk is 3 times greater in cirrhotic patients with HCV than ALD or NAFLD. HCC risk continues to increase over time in analyses extending to 2017 in cirrhosis of all etiologies. Multiple readily available risk factors for HCC were identified that were influenced by cirrhosis etiology and could be used to develop HCC risk estimation models.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBiomarkersCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceLiver CirrhosisMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsTime FactorsYoung AdultBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID30260995
PMCPMC6160079
OpenAlexW2894387264

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC0
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.