Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30260533›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2018

An alternative method to analyse the biomarker-strategy design.

Cornelia Ursula Kunz, Thomas Jaki, Nigel Stallard

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Cornelia Ursula KunzDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8900-9401
Thomas JakiDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
Nigel StallardWarwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/M005755/1Medical Research Council MR/M014525/1National Institute for Health Research NIHR-SRF-2015-08-001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent developments in genomics and proteomics enable the discovery of biomarkers that allow identification of subgroups of patients responding well to a treatment. One currently used clinical trial design incorporating a predictive biomarker is the so-called biomarker strategy design (or marker-based strategy design). Conventionally, the results from this design are analysed by comparing the mean of the biomarker-led arm with the mean of the randomised arm. Several problems regarding the analysis of the data obtained from this design have been identified in the literature. In this paper, we show how these problems can be resolved if the sample sizes in the subgroups fulfil the specified orthogonality condition. We also propose a different analysis strategy that allows definition of test statistics for the biomarker-by-treatment interaction effect as well as for the classical treatment effect and the biomarker effect. We derive equations for the sample size calculation for the case of perfect and imperfect biomarker assays. We also show that the often used 1:1 randomisation does not necessarily lead to the smallest sample size. In addition, we provide point estimators and confidence intervals for the treatment effects in the subgroups. Application of our method is illustrated using a real data example.

Indexed as

BiomarkersAnti-Asthmatic AgentsAsthmaAzithromycinHumansModels, StatisticalPrecision MedicineRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicSample SizeStatistics as TopicTreatment OutcomeAnti-Asthmatic AgentsAzithromycinBiomarkersanalysis strategybiomarkerdesigninteractionpersonalised medicine

Identifiers

PMID30260533
PMCPMC6492198

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.