Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30259352›Full record

ArticleTheory in biosciences = Theorie in den Biowissenschaften2018

Seasonal transmission dynamics of measles in China.

Jicai Huang, Shigui Ruan, Xiao Wu, Xuelei Zhou

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Theory in biosciences = Theorie in den Biowissenschaften, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Phylogenetic and Epidemiological Analysis of Measles Viruses in Shenzhen, China from January 2015 to July 2019.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Jicai HuangSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, 430079, People's Republic of China.
Shigui RuanDepartment of Mathematics, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL, 33146, USA. ruan@math.miami.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6348-8205
Xiao WuSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, 430079, People's Republic of China.
Xuelei ZhouSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, 430079, People's Republic of China.
Central China Normal University · CNUniversity of Miami · US

Funding

Directorate for Mathematical and Physical Sciences DMS-1412454National Natural Science Foundation of China 11471133National Natural Science Foundation of China 11771168
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Measles, a highly contagious infection caused by the measles virus, is a major public health problem in China. The reported measles cases decreased dramatically from 2004 to 2012 due to the mandatory measles vaccine program started in 2005 and the goal of eliminating measles by 2012. However, after reaching its lowest level in 2012, measles has resurged again since 2013. Since the monthly data of measles cases exhibit a seasonally fluctuating pattern, based on the measles model in Earn et al. (Science 287:667-670, 2000), we propose a susceptible, exposed, infectious, and recovered model with periodic transmission rate to investigate the seasonal measles epidemics and the effect of vaccination. We calculate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], analyze the dynamical behavior of the model, and use the model to simulate the monthly data of measles cases reported in China. We also carry out some sensitivity analysis of [Formula: see text] in the terms of various model parameters which shows that measles can be controlled and eventually eradicated by increasing the immunization rate, improving the effective vaccine management, and enhancing the awareness of people about measles.

Indexed as

Basic Reproduction NumberSeasonsChildChild, PreschoolChinaComputer SimulationDisease OutbreaksHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMeaslesMeasles VaccineModels, TheoreticalVaccinationMeasles VaccineBasic reproduction numberMeaslesPeriodic solutionSEIR modelVaccination

Identifiers

PMID30259352
OpenAlexW2893618293

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.