Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30254220›Full record

ArticleNature communications2018

Quantifying climate sensitivity and climate-driven change in North American amphibian communities.

David A W Miller, Evan H Campbell Grant, Erin Muths, Staci M Amburgey, Michael J Adams, Maxwell B Joseph, J Hardin Waddle, Pieter T J Johnson, Maureen E Ryan, Benedikt R Schmidt and 31 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Quantifying exposure of amphibian species to heat waves, cold spells, and droughts.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Using comparative extinction risk analysis to prioritize the IUCN Red List reassessments of amphibians.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Archival mitogenomes identify invasion by theProceedings. Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Bending the curve: Simple but massive conservation action leads to landscape-scale recovery of amphibians.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

41 authors.

David A W MillerDepartment of Ecosystem Science and Management, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA. dxm84@psu.edu.
Evan H Campbell GrantU.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, SO Conte Anadromous Fish Lab, 1 Migratory Way, Turners Falls, MA, 01376, USA. ehgrant@usgs.gov.
Erin MuthsU.S. Geological Survey, Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 80523, USA. muthse@usgs.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5498-3132
Staci M AmburgeyDepartment of Ecosystem Science and Management, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7100-7811
Michael J AdamsU.S. Geological Survey, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Corvallis, OR, 97331, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8844-042X
Maxwell B JosephEcology and Evolutionary Biology Department, University of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO, 80309, USA.
J Hardin WaddleU.S. Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Lafayette, LA, 70506, USA.
Pieter T J JohnsonEcology and Evolutionary Biology Department, University of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO, 80309, USA.
Maureen E RyanSchool of Environment and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA.
Benedikt R SchmidtInstitute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Zurich, 8057, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4023-1001
Daniel L CalhounU.S. Geological Survey, South Atlantic Water Science Center, Norcross, GA, 30093, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2371-6936
Courtney L DavisDepartment of Ecosystem Science and Management, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6467-4288
Robert N FisherU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, San Diego, CA, 92101, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2956-3240
David M GreenRedpath Museum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, H3A 0C4, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4438-2285
Blake R HossackU.S. Geological Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, Aldo Leopold Wilderness Research Institute, Missoula, MT, 59801, USA.
Tracy A G RittenhouseDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, 06269, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8404-8882
Susan C WallsU.S. Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Gainesville, FL, 32653, USA.
Larissa L BaileyDepartment of Fish, Wildlife and Conservation Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523, USA.
Sam S CruickshankInstitute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Zurich, 8057, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0183-5352
Gary M FellersU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, Point Reyes Station, CA, 94956, USA.
Thomas A GormanDepartment of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, 24061, USA.
Carola A HaasDepartment of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, 24061, USA.
Ward HughsonParks Canada, Jasper, Alberta, T0E 1E0, Canada.
David S PilliodU.S. Geological Survey, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Boise, ID, 83706, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4207-3518
Steven J PriceDepartment of Forestry and Natural Resources, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, 40506, USA.
Andrew M RayGreater Yellowstone Network, National Park Service, Bozeman, MT, 59715, USA.
Walt SadinskiU.S. Geological Survey, Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, La Crosse, WI, 54603, USA.
Daniel SaenzU. S. Department of Agriculture, Southern Research Station, Forest Service, Nacogdoches, TX, 75965, USA.
William J BarichivichU.S. Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Gainesville, FL, 32653, USA.
Adrianne BrandU.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, SO Conte Anadromous Fish Lab, 1 Migratory Way, Turners Falls, MA, 01376, USA.
Cheryl S BrehmeU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, San Diego, CA, 92101, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8904-3354
Rosi DagitResource Conservation District of the Santa Monica Mountains, Topanga, CA, 90290, USA.
Katy S DelaneyNational Park Service-Santa Monica Mountains Recreation Area, Thousand Oaks, CA, 91360, USA.
Brad M GloriosoU.S. Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Lafayette, LA, 70506, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5400-7414
Lee B KatsNatural Sciences Division, Seaver College, Pepperdine University, Malibu, CA, 90263, USA.
Patrick M KleemanU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, Point Reyes Station, CA, 94956, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6567-3239
Christopher A PearlU.S. Geological Survey, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Corvallis, OR, 97331, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2943-7321
Carlton J RochesterU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, San Diego, CA, 92101, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0625-4496
Seth P D RileyNational Park Service-Santa Monica Mountains Recreation Area, Thousand Oaks, CA, 91360, USA.
Mark RothU.S. Geological Survey, Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, La Crosse, WI, 54603, USA.
Brent H SigafusU.S. Geological Survey, Southwest Biological Science Center, Tucson, AZ, 85719, USA.

Funding

EID disease in complex communities: multi-host multi-pathogen interactionsR01GM109499 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SANTA BARBARA · PI BRIGGS, CHERYL J · 2013 to 2016
$1.7M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM109499
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Changing climate will impact species' ranges only when environmental variability directly impacts the demography of local populations. However, measurement of demographic responses to climate change has largely been limited to single species and locations. Here we show that amphibian communities are responsive to climatic variability, using >500,000 time-series observations for 81 species across 86 North American study areas. The effect of climate on local colonization and persistence probabilities varies among eco-regions and depends on local climate, species life-histories, and taxonomic classification. We found that local species richness is most sensitive to changes in water availability during breeding and changes in winter conditions. Based on the relationships we measure, recent changes in climate cannot explain why local species richness of North American amphibians has rapidly declined. However, changing climate does explain why some populations are declining faster than others. Our results provide important insights into how amphibians respond to climate and a general framework for measuring climate impacts on species richness.

Indexed as

ClimateClimate ChangeEcosystemAlgorithmsAmphibiansAnimal DistributionAnimalsGeographyModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaPopulation DynamicsSeasonsSpecies SpecificityTemperature

Identifiers

PMID30254220
PMCPMC6156563

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.