Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30244284›Full record

ArticlePsychopharmacology2018

Probability discounting of treatment decisions in multiple sclerosis: associations with disease knowledge, neuropsychiatric status, and adherence.

Jared M Bruce, Amanda S Bruce, Sharon Lynch, Joanie Thelen, Seung-Lark Lim, Julia Smith, Delwyn Catley, Derek D Reed, David P Jarmolowicz

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Psychopharmacology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. A systematic review to explore patients' MS knowledge and MS risk knowledge.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Choosing initial MS therapy; personal, disease, and medication factors.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Notes on demand: Conceptual and empirical benefits of applying Rachlin's discounting equation to demand data.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2023
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Medication Adherence: Expanding the Conceptual Framework.American journal of hypertension · 2021
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jared M BruceDepartment of Psychology, University of Missouri - Kansas City, 5030 Cherry Hall, Kansas City, MO, 64110, USA. brucejm@umkc.edu.
Amanda S BruceCenter for Healthy Lifestyles and Nutrition, Children's Mercy Hospital, Kansas City, MO, USA.
Sharon LynchDepartment of Neurology, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA.
Joanie ThelenDepartment of Psychology, University of Missouri - Kansas City, 5030 Cherry Hall, Kansas City, MO, 64110, USA.
Seung-Lark LimDepartment of Psychology, University of Missouri - Kansas City, 5030 Cherry Hall, Kansas City, MO, 64110, USA.
Julia SmithDepartment of Psychology, University of Missouri - Kansas City, 5030 Cherry Hall, Kansas City, MO, 64110, USA.
Delwyn CatleyCenter for Healthy Lifestyles and Nutrition, Children's Mercy Hospital, Kansas City, MO, USA.
Derek D ReedDepartment of Applied Behavior Science, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA.
David P JarmolowiczDepartment of Applied Behavior Science, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA.

Funding

National Multiple Sclerosis Society HC-1411-01993
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

rationalePatients weigh risks and benefits when making treatment decisions. Despite this, relatively few studies examine the behavioral patterns underpinning these decisions. Moreover, individual differences in these patterns remain largely unexplored.

objectivesThe purpose of this study was to test a probability discounting model to explain the independent influences of risks and benefits when patients make hypothetical treatment decisions. Furthermore, we examine how individual differences in this probability discounting function are associated with patient demographics, clinical characteristics, disease knowledge, neuropsychiatric status, and adherence.

methodsTwo hundred eight participants with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) indicated their likelihood (0-100%) of taking a hypothetical medication as the probability of mild side effects (11 values from .1 to 99.9%) and reported medication efficacies (11 values from .1 to 99.9%) varied systematically. They also completed a series of questionnaires and cognitive tests.

resultsIndividual components of medication treatment decision making were successfully described with a probability discounting model. High rates of discounting based on risks were associated with poor treatment adherence and less disease-specific knowledge. In contrast, high rates of discounting of benefits was associated with poorer cognitive functioning. Regression models indicated that risk discounting predicted unique variance in treatment adherence.

conclusionsInsights gained from the present study represent an important early step in understanding individual differences associated with medical decision making in MS. Future research may wish to use this knowledge to inform the development of empirically supported adherence interventions.

Indexed as

Decision MakingDelay DiscountingHealth Knowledge, Attitudes, PracticePsychiatric Status Rating ScalesAdultFemaleHumansMaleMedication AdherenceMiddle AgedMultiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-RemittingProbabilitySelf ReportSurveys and QuestionnairesAdherenceDisease-modifying therapyMedical decision makingMultiple sclerosisProbability discounting

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.