Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30241447›Full record

ArticleScandinavian journal of urology2018

Prostate cancer risk assessment in men with an initial P.S.A. below 3 ng/mL: results from the Göteborg randomized population-based prostate cancer screening trial.

Maria Frånlund, Rebecka Arnsrud Godtman, Sigrid V Carlsson, Hans Lilja, Marianne Månsson, Johan Stranne, Jonas Hugosson

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scandinavian journal of urology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Maria Frånlunda Department of Urology , Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Göteborg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital , Göteborg , Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7827-5392
Rebecka Arnsrud Godtmana Department of Urology , Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Göteborg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital , Göteborg , Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-6550
Sigrid V Carlssona Department of Urology , Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Göteborg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital , Göteborg , Sweden.
Hans Liljac Departments of Laboratory Medicine, Surgery (Urology), and Medicine (GU-Oncology) , Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center , New York , NY , U.S.A.
Marianne Månssona Department of Urology , Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Göteborg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital , Göteborg , Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1460-4062
Johan Strannea Department of Urology , Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Göteborg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital , Göteborg , Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4295-6524
Jonas Hugossona Department of Urology , Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Göteborg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital , Göteborg , Sweden.
Sahlgrenska University Hospital · SEMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
SPORE In Prostate CancerP50CA092629 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI JAMES A EASTHAM · 2001 to 2026
$63.0M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P50 CA092629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo evaluate the long-term outcome of men with an initial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level below 3 ng/mL and whether the free-to-total (F/T PSA) ratio is a useful prognostic marker in this range. MATERIALS AND

methodsThis study is based on 5,174 men aged 50-66 years, who in 1995-1996 participated in the first round of the Göteborg randomized screening trial (initial T-PSA level <3 ng/mL). These men were subsequently invited biennially for PSA and F/T PSA screening until they reached the upper age limit (on average 69 years). Biopsy was recommended if PSA ≥ 3 ng/mL.

resultsAfter a median follow-up of 18.9 years, 754 men (14.6%) were diagnosed with prostate cancer (PC). The overall cumulative PC incidence was 17.2%. It increased from 7.9% among men with T-PSA of ≤0.99 ng/mL to 26.0% in men with T-PSA levels of 1-1.99 ng/mL and 40.3% in men between 2-2.99 ng/mL (p < 0.001). The initial PSA was also related to the incidence of Gleason ≥7 PC (3.7% vs 9.7% vs 10.9%) and PC death (0.3% vs 1.1% vs 1.5%). Adding F/T PSA did not improve PC prediction in terms of Harrell concordance index (base model 0.76 vs 0.76) nor improvement of the likelihood of the model (p = 0.371).

conclusionsSome men with initial PSA < 3 ng/mL will be diagnosed too late, despite participating in an organized screening program, indicating that prompt diagnosis is justified in these men. PC incidence and risk of PC death was associated with PSA., but F/T PSA had no predictive value.

Indexed as

AgedBiopsyCohort StudiesEarly Detection of CancerFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceKallikreinsMaleMiddle AgedProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsRisk AssessmentSwedenKallikreinsKLK3 protein, humanProstate-Specific Antigenfree-to-total PSAmortalityProstate cancerPSAscreening

Identifiers

PMID30241447
PMCPMC6298808
OpenAlexW2892571746

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.