Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30232783›Full record

ArticleNetherlands heart journal : monthly journal of the Netherlands Society of Cardiology and the Netherlands Heart Foundation2018

Prospective validation of the EuroSCORE II risk model in a single Dutch cardiac surgery centre.

E K Hogervorst, P M J Rosseel, L M G van de Watering, A Brand, M Bentala, B J M van der Meer, J G van der Bom

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Netherlands heart journal : monthly journal of the Netherlands Society of Cardiology and the Netherlands Heart Foundation, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Validation of EuroSCORE II Scoring System on Isolated CABG Patient in Indonesia.The Egyptian heart journal : (EHJ) : official bulletin of the Egyptian Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  6. Dynamics in cardiac surgery: trends in population characteristics and the performance of the EuroSCORE II over time.European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
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  9. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

E K HogervorstCentre for Clinical Transfusion Research, Sanquin Research, Leiden, The Netherlands. e.k.hogervorst@umcg.nl.
P M J RosseelDepartment of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Amphia Hospital, Breda, The Netherlands.
L M G van de WateringCentre for Clinical Transfusion Research, Sanquin Research, Leiden, The Netherlands.
A BrandCentre for Clinical Transfusion Research, Sanquin Research, Leiden, The Netherlands.
M BentalaDepartment of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Amphia Hospital, Breda, The Netherlands.
B J M van der MeerDepartment of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Amphia Hospital, Breda, The Netherlands.
J G van der BomCentre for Clinical Transfusion Research, Sanquin Research, Leiden, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe EuroSCORE I was one of the most frequently used pre-operative risk models in cardiac surgery. In 2011 it was replaced by its successor the EuroSCORE II. This study aims to validate the EuroSCORE II and to compare its performance with the EuroSCORE I in a Dutch hospital.

methodsThe EuroSCORE II was prospectively validated in 2,296 consecutive cardiac surgery patients between 1 April 2012 and 1 January 2014. Receiver operating characteristic curves on in-hospital mortality were plotted for EuroSCORE I and EuroSCORE II, and the area under the curve was calculated to assess discriminative power. Calibration was assessed by comparing observed versus expected mortality. Additionally, analyses were performed in which we stratified for type of surgery and for elective versus emergency surgery.

resultsThe observed mortality was 2.4% (55 patients). The discriminative power of the EuroSCORE II surpassed that of the EuroSCORE I (area under the curve EuroSCORE II 0.871, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.832-0.911; area under the curve additive EuroSCORE I 0.840, CI 0.798-0.882; area under the curve logistic EuroSCORE I 0.761, CI 0.695-0.828). Both the additive and the logistic EuroSCORE I overestimated mortality (predictive mortality additive EuroSCORE I median 5.0%, inter-quartile range 3.0-8.0%; logistic EuroSCORE I 10.7%, inter-quartile range 5.8-13.9), while the EuroSCORE II underestimated mortality (median 1.6%, inter-quartile range 1.0-3.5). In most stratified analyses the EuroSCORE II performed better.

conclusionOur results show that the EuroSCORE II produces a valid risk prediction and outperforms the EuroSCORE I in elective cardiac surgery patients.

Indexed as

Cardiac surgeryEuroSCORERisk model

Identifiers

PMID30232783
PMCPMC6220016

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.