ArticleScientific reports2018
West Nile virus transmission and human infection risk in Veneto (Italy): a modelling analysis.
Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 41 citations in OpenAlex.
- Effect of Climate Change on West Nile Virus Transmission in Italy: A Systematic Review.Public health reviews · 2025Pooled it
- Mechanistic models for West Nile virus transmission: a systematic review of features, aims and parametrization.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Pooled it
- Are we doing our best to contain the spread of West Nile virus? Evaluating intervention efficacy through mathematical modelling.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Meteorological and environmental drivers of West Nile virus prevalence in Culex pipiens mosquitoes in Emilia-Romagna, Italy in 2013 to 2022.PLoS pathogens · 2025Article
- New enemies: contribution of CPathogens and global health · 2025Article
- Early warning system of the seasonal west nile virus infection risk in humans in northern greece, 2020-2024.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Epidemiology and surveillance of West Nile virus in the Mediterranean Basin during 2010-2023: A systematic review.Current research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2025Review
- The effect of temperature on the boundary conditions of West Nile virus circulation in Europe.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Empirical dynamic modelling and enhanced causal analysis of short-length Culex abundance timeseries with vector correlation metrics.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Quantifying the invasion risk of West Nile virus: Insights from a multi-vector and multi-host SEIR model.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Article
- A systematic review of environmental factors related to WNV circulation in European and Mediterranean countries.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Review
- Article
- Understanding West Nile virus transmission: Mathematical modelling to quantify the most critical parameters to predict infection dynamics.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- Climate change and human health in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East: Literature review, research priorities and policy suggestions.Environmental research · 2023Review
- Article
- Modelling the West Nile virus force of infection in the European human population.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2022Article
- West Nile Virus Infection: A Cross-Sectional Study on Italian Medical Professionals during Summer Season 2022.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2022Article
- An epidemiological model for mosquito host selection and temperature-dependent transmission of West Nile virus.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- A dynamically structured matrix population model for insect life histories observed under variable environmental conditions.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- West Nile Virus Lineage 1 in Italy: Newly Introduced or a Re-Occurrence of a Previously Circulating Strain?Viruses · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
An intensified and continuous West Nile virus (WNV) spread across northern Italy has been observed since 2008, which caused more than one hundred reported human infections until 2016. Veneto is one of the Italian regions where WNV is considered endemic, and the greatest intensity of circulation was observed during 2013 and 2016. By using entomological data collected across the region in those years, we calibrated a temperature-driven mathematical model through a Bayesian approach that simulates the WNV infection in an avian population with seasonal demography. We considered two alternative routes of life cycle re-activation of the virus at the beginning of each vector breeding season: in the first one the virus is maintained by infected birds, in the other by diapausing mosquitoes previously infected. Afterwards, we computed seasonal risk curves for human infection and quantified how they translate into reported symptomatic cases. According to our results, WNV is more likely to be re-activated each year via previously infected mosquitoes. The highest probability of human infection is expected to occur in August, consistently with observations. Our epidemiological estimates can be of particular interest for public health authorities, to support decisions in term of designing efficient surveillance plans and preventive measures.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.