Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30222659›Full record

ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2018

Identifying Clusters of Recent and Rapid HIV Transmission Through Analysis of Molecular Surveillance Data.

Alexandra M Oster, Anne Marie France, Nivedha Panneer, M Cheryl Bañez Ocfemia, Ellsworth Campbell, Sharoda Dasgupta, William M Switzer, Joel O Wertheim, Angela L Hernandez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 111 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
111citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

111 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Brief Report: National HIV Molecular Cluster Detection Supports Local Cluster Detection.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

51 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Alexandra M OsterDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Anne Marie FranceDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Nivedha PanneerDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
M Cheryl Bañez OcfemiaDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Ellsworth CampbellDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Sharoda DasguptaDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
William M SwitzerDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Joel O WertheimDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, CA.
Angela L HernandezDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.

Funding

VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SUSAN JANET LITTLE · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Public Health Implications of HIV Transmission NetworksK01AI110181 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI WERTHEIM, JOEL OKRENT · 2014 to 2018
$668k
Intramural CDC HHS CC999999NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI110181NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDetecting recent and rapid spread of HIV can help prioritize prevention and early treatment for those at highest risk of transmission. HIV genetic sequence data can identify transmission clusters, but previous approaches have not distinguished clusters of recent, rapid transmission. We assessed an analytic approach to identify such clusters in the United States.

methodsWe analyzed 156,553 partial HIV-1 polymerase sequences reported to the National HIV Surveillance System and inferred transmission clusters using 2 genetic distance thresholds (0.5% and 1.5%) and 2 periods for diagnoses (all years and 2013-2015, ie, recent diagnoses). For rapidly growing clusters (with ≥5 diagnoses during 2015), molecular clock phylogenetic analysis estimated the time to most recent common ancestor for all divergence events within the cluster. Cluster transmission rates were estimated using these phylogenies.

resultsA distance threshold of 1.5% identified 103 rapidly growing clusters using all diagnoses and 73 using recent diagnoses; at 0.5%, 15 clusters were identified using all diagnoses and 13 using recent diagnoses. Molecular clock analysis estimated that the 13 clusters identified at 0.5% using recent diagnoses had been diversifying for a median of 4.7 years, compared with 6.5-13.2 years using other approaches. The 13 clusters at 0.5% had a transmission rate of 33/100 person-years, compared with previous national estimates of 4/100 person-years.

conclusionsOur approach identified clusters with transmission rates 8 times those of previous national estimates. This method can identify groups involved in rapid transmission and help programs effectively direct and prioritize limited public health resources.

Indexed as

Cluster AnalysisEpidemiological MonitoringGenotypeAdultAgedFemaleHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedMolecular Epidemiologypol Gene Products, Human Immunodeficiency VirusSequence Analysis, DNAUnited StatesYoung Adultpol Gene Products, Human Immunodeficiency Virus

Identifiers

PMID30222659
PMCPMC6231979

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.