Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30216590›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of methods in psychiatric research2018

A Bayesian multivariate approach to estimating the prevalence of a superordinate category of disorders.

Jonathan M Fawcett, Nichole Fairbrother, Emily J Fawcett, Ian R White

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of methods in psychiatric research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jonathan M FawcettDepartment of Psychology, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, NL, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4248-5371
Nichole FairbrotherDepartment of Psychiatry and the Island Medical Program, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Emily J FawcettStudent Wellness and Counselling Centre, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, NL, Canada.
Ian R WhiteMRC Clinical Trials Unit, University College London, London, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/21
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEpidemiological research plays an important role in public health, facilitated by the meta-analytic aggregation of epidemiological trials into a single, more powerful estimate. This form of aggregation is complicated when estimating the prevalence of a superordinate category of disorders (e.g., "any anxiety disorder," "any cardiac disorder") because epidemiological studies rarely include all of the disorders selected to define the superordinate category. In this paper, we suggest that estimating the prevalence of a superordinate category based on studies with differing operationalization of that category (in the form of different disorders measured) is both common and ill-advised. Our objective is to provide a better approach.

methodsWe propose a multivariate method using individual disorder prevalences to produce a fully Bayesian estimate of the probability of having one or more of those disorders. We validate this approach using a recent case study and parameter recovery simulations.

resultsOur approach produced less biased and more reliable estimates than other common approaches, which were at times highly biased.

conclusionAlthough our approach entails additional effort (e.g., contacting authors for individual participant data), the improved accuracy of the prevalence estimates obtained is significant and therefore recommended.

Indexed as

Epidemiologic MethodsMeta-Analysis as TopicModels, StatisticalAnxiety DisordersBayes TheoremHumansMultivariate AnalysisPrevalenceBayesian modellingepidemiologymeta-analysismethodsmultivariate model

Identifiers

PMID30216590
PMCPMC6383646

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.