Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30215716›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of public health2019

Austerity, measles and mandatory vaccination: cross-regional analysis of vaccination in Italy 2000-14.

Veronica Toffolutti, Martin McKee, Alessia Melegaro, Walter Ricciardi, David Stuckler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Decline in UK childhood vaccine uptake.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2025
    Article
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  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Veronica Toffolutti"Carlo F. Dondena" Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policies, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy.
Martin McKeeDepartment of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, UK.
Alessia Melegaro"Carlo F. Dondena" Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policies, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy.
Walter RicciardiIstituto Superiore di Sanità - National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy.
David Stuckler"Carlo F. Dondena" Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and Public Policies, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy.

Funding

European Research Council 283955Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Italy has experienced a resurgence in measles since 2015. Although much emphasis has been placed on the role of individuals opting out of vaccination, here we test the hypothesis that large budget reductions in public health spending were also a contributing factor. Methods: Multi-variate statistical models were used to assess the relationship between measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) coverage and real public health expenditure per-capita across Italy's 20 regions covering the period 2000-14. Results: Between 2010 and 2014 Italy's public health expenditure fell by over 2%, although varying among regions. Fixed effects models estimate that each 1% reduction in per-capita public health expenditure was associated with a decrease of 0.5 percentage points (95% CI: 0.36-0.65 percentage points) in MMR coverage, after adjusting for time and regional-specific time trends. The consequences can be illustrated by comparing two regions, Lazio, where public health spending fell by 5% and MMR coverage by over 3 percentage points, and Sardinia, a historically deprived region, where public health spending partly rose and MMR rates remained approximately steady. Conclusion: Adoption of austerity policies in the Italian health system was found to be significantly associated with declining vaccination rates for MMR. However, the recent introduction of mandatory vaccination for Italian children may help counteract this trend.

Indexed as

AdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleForecastingHumansImmunization ProgramsInfantItalyMaleMandatory ProgramsMeaslesMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineVaccinationMeasles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine

Identifiers

PMID30215716
PMCPMC6345202

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.