ArticlePLoS computational biology2018
The impact of surveillance and control on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Dhaka division, Bangladesh.
Article in PLoS computational biology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A systematic review of mechanistic models used to study avian influenza virus transmission and control.Veterinary research · 2023Pooled it
- Modeling and control of highly pathogenic avian influenza in poultry using network disease dynamics.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- A modelling assessment of the impact of control measures on highly pathogenic avian influenza transmission in poultry in Great Britain.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Modeling and assessing Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) spread, epidemiological control measures, and cost.PloS one · 2026Article
- Pan-continental spillover risk: integrated spatiotemporal, transmissibility and surveillance analysis of avian influenza a(H5N1) in Africa.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2026Article
- Potential benefits of adaptive control strategies are outweighed by costs of infrequent, but dramatically larger disease outbreaks.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
- Article
- Association of poultry vaccination with interspecies transmission and molecular evolution of H5 subtype avian influenza virus.Science advances · 2025Article
- Endocrine and molecular regulation of seasonal avian immune function.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Review
- Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Avian Influenza: Understanding Avian Influenza Transmission via Mallard Migration Data.Interdisciplinary perspectives on infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Article
- Assessing the Use of Different Surveillance Components to Detect Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Outbreaks in Poultry in the Netherlands in Low- and High-Risk Years.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2025Article
- Avian influenza in birds: Insights from a comprehensive review.Veterinary world · 2024Review
- The Alarming Situation of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Viruses in 2019-2023.Global medical genetics · 2024Review
- Utilizing citizen science data to rapidly assess changing associations between wild birds and avian influenza outbreaks in poultry.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Comparative evolution of influenza A virus H1 and H3 head and stalk domains across host species.mBio · 2024Article
- Molecular epidemiology of avian influenza viruses and avian coronaviruses in environmental samples from migratory bird inhabitants in Bangladesh.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2024Article
- Treatment of sheep prior to movement: its contribution to an effective scab (psoroptic mange) management strategy.Parasites & vectors · 2023Article
- Rational approach to vaccination against highly pathogenic avian influenza in Nigeria: a scientific perspective and global best practice.Archives of virology · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
14 authors.
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Abstract
In Bangladesh, the poultry industry is an economically and socially important sector, but it is persistently threatened by the effects of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza. Thus, identifying the optimal control policy in response to an emerging disease outbreak is a key challenge for policy-makers. To inform this aim, a common approach is to carry out simulation studies comparing plausible strategies, while accounting for known capacity restrictions. In this study we perform simulations of a previously developed H5N1 influenza transmission model framework, fitted to two separate historical outbreaks, to assess specific control objectives related to the burden or duration of H5N1 outbreaks among poultry farms in the Dhaka division of Bangladesh. In particular, we explore the optimal implementation of ring culling, ring vaccination and active surveillance measures when presuming disease transmission predominately occurs from premises-to-premises, versus a setting requiring the inclusion of external factors. Additionally, we determine the sensitivity of the management actions under consideration to differing levels of capacity constraints and outbreaks with disparate transmission dynamics. While we find that reactive culling and vaccination policies should pay close attention to these factors to ensure intervention targeting is optimised, across multiple settings the top performing control action amongst those under consideration were targeted proactive surveillance schemes. Our findings may advise the type of control measure, plus its intensity, that could potentially be applied in the event of a developing outbreak of H5N1 amongst originally H5N1 virus-free commercially-reared poultry in the Dhaka division of Bangladesh.
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