Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30209592›Full record

ArticleEuropean radiology2019

Development and validation of an ultrasound-based nomogram to improve the diagnostic accuracy for malignant thyroid nodules.

Bao-Liang Guo, Fu-Sheng Ouyang, Li-Zhu Ouyang, Zi-Wei Liu, Shao-Jia Lin, Wei Meng, Xi-Yi Huang, Hai-Xiong Chen, Shao-Ming Yang, Qiu-Gen Hu

Abstract readValidation Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in European radiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. [Construction and verification of lymph node metastasis model of cN0 stage thyroid micropapillary carcinoma and discussion of surgical methods].Lin chuang er bi yan hou tou jing wai ke za zhi = Journal of clinical otorhinolaryngology head and neck surgery · 2021
    Article
  11. Do Molecular Profiles of PrimaryFrontiers in endocrinology · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Bao-Liang GuoDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Fu-Sheng OuyangDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Li-Zhu OuyangDepartment of Ultrasound, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Zi-Wei LiuDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Shao-Jia LinDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Wei MengDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Xi-Yi HuangDepartment of Laboratory, Lecong Hospital of Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Hai-Xiong ChenDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Shao-Ming YangDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Qiu-Gen HuDepartment of Radiology, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), No.1, Penglai Road, Daliang District, Shunde, Foshan, Guangdong, People's Republic of China. qiugenhu@126.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1099-0098

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe aim of this study was to develop an ultrasound-based nomogram to improve the diagnostic accuracy of the identification of malignant thyroid nodules.

methodsA total of 1675 histologically proven thyroid nodules (1169 benign, 506 malignant) were included in this study. The nodules were grouped into the training dataset (n = 700), internal validation dataset (n = 479), or external validation dataset (n = 496). The grayscale ultrasound features included the nodule size, shape, aspect ratio, echogenicity, margins, and calcification pattern. We applied least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) regression to select the strongest features for the nomogram. Nomogram discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC) and calibration were assessed. The nomogram was subjected to bootstrapping validation (1000 bootstrap resamples) to calculate a mean AUC and 95% confidence interval (CI).

resultsThe nomogram showed good discrimination in the training dataset, with an AUC of 0.936 (95% CI: 0.918-0.953) and good calibration. Application of the nomogram to the internal validation dataset also resulted in good discrimination (AUC: 0.935; 95% CI, 0.915-0.954) and good calibration. The model tested in an external validation dataset demonstrated a lower AUC of 0.782 (95% CI: 0.776-0.789).

conclusionsThis ultrasound-based nomogram can be used to quantify the probability of malignant thyroid nodules. KEY POINTS: • Ultrasound examination is helpful in the differential diagnosis of malignant and benign thyroid nodules. • However, ultrasound accuracy relies heavily on examiner experience. • A less subjective diagnostic model is desired, and the developed nomogram for thyroid nodules showed good discrimination and good calibration.

Indexed as

NomogramsAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overDiagnosis, DifferentialFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveThyroid GlandThyroid NoduleUltrasonographyArea Under CurveDiagnosisNomogramThyroid noduleUltrasonography

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.