Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30209368›Full record

ArticleNature2018

Future response of global coastal wetlands to sea-level rise.

Mark Schuerch, Tom Spencer, Stijn Temmerman, Matthew L Kirwan, Claudia Wolff, Daniel Lincke, Chris J McOwen, Mark D Pickering, Ruth Reef, Athanasios T Vafeidis and 3 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 88 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
88citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

88 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Recommendations for the development of erosion-resistant tidal marshes to enhance nature-based flood risk mitigation.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Mangrove restoration and coastal flood adaptation: A global perspective on the potential for hybrid coastal defenses.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Impacts of sea level rise on the world's shorebirds.Biodiversity and conservation · 2026
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Assessing nature-based coastal defense.Scientific reports · 2025
    Article

28 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Mark SchuerchLincoln Centre for Water and Planetary Health, School of Geography, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK. mschuerch@lincoln.ac.uk.
Tom SpencerCambridge Coastal Research Unit, Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Stijn TemmermanEcosystem Management Research Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.
Matthew L KirwanVirginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary, Gloucester Point, VA, USA.
Claudia WolffInstitute of Geography, Christian-Albrechts University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Daniel LinckeGlobal Climate Forum, Berlin, Germany.
Chris J McOwenUN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, UK.
Mark D PickeringOcean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Ruth ReefSchool of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia.
Athanasios T VafeidisInstitute of Geography, Christian-Albrechts University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Jochen HinkelGlobal Climate Forum, Berlin, Germany.
Robert J NichollsFaculty of Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Sally BrownFaculty of Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.

Funding

National Science Foundation 1426981National Science Foundation 1654374
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The response of coastal wetlands to sea-level rise during the twenty-first century remains uncertain. Global-scale projections suggest that between 20 and 90 per cent (for low and high sea-level rise scenarios, respectively) of the present-day coastal wetland area will be lost, which will in turn result in the loss of biodiversity and highly valued ecosystem services

Indexed as

Geographic MappingModels, TheoreticalWetlandsCalibrationGeologic SedimentsGlobal WarmingHuman ActivitiesInternationalitySeawater

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.