ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2018
Nonlinear averaging of thermal experience predicts population growth rates in a thermally variable environment.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Effects of thermal fluctuations on biological processes: a meta-analysis of experiments manipulating thermal variability.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Pooled it
- Ecological responses of soil bacteria to rapid and slow temperature fluctuations.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2026Article
- Climate Warming Drives the Breakdown of Plant-Pollinator Mutualisms Despite Phenological Synchrony.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Quantifying the net effect of biodiversity on ecological stability.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Temporal Autocorrelation Increases Temperature-Driven Extinction Risk by Clustering Stressful Conditions.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- General Predictions for the Effects of Warming on Competition.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Order matters: Autocorrelation of temperature dictates extinction risk in populations with nonlinear thermal performance.Ecology · 2026Article
- Article
- Warm-Loving Species Perform Well Under Limiting Resources: Trait Combinations for Future Climate.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Two Hypotheses About Climate Change and Species Distributions.Ecology letters · 2025Article
- Uncovering temperature sensitivity of West Nile virus transmission: Novel computational approaches to mosquito-pathogen trait responses.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Measuring the Response Diversity of Ecological Communities Experiencing Multifarious Environmental Change.Global change biology · 2024Article
- Temperature dependence of mosquitoes: Comparing mechanistic and machine learning approaches.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Heatwave responses of Arctic phytoplankton communities are driven by combined impacts of warming and cooling.Science advances · 2024Article
- Variation in temperature of peak trait performance constrains adaptation of arthropod populations to climatic warming.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Article
- Effects of dispersal and temperature variability on phytoplankton realized temperature niches.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- The thermal breadth of temperate and tropical freshwater insects supports the climate variability hypothesis.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Mosquito thermal tolerance is remarkably constrained across a large climatic range.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Temperate species underfill their tropical thermal potentials on land.Nature ecology & evolution · 2023Article
- Mosquito thermal tolerance is remarkably constrained across a large climatic range.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
As thermal regimes change worldwide, projections of future population and species persistence often require estimates of how population growth rates depend on temperature. These projections rarely account for how temporal variation in temperature can systematically modify growth rates relative to projections based on constant temperatures. Here, we tested the hypothesis that time-averaged population growth rates in fluctuating thermal environments differ from growth rates in constant conditions as a consequence of Jensen's inequality, and that the thermal performance curves (TPCs) describing population growth in fluctuating environments can be predicted quantitatively based on TPCs generated in constant laboratory conditions. With experimental populations of the green alga
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.