Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30196383›Full record

ArticlePediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany)2019

A clinical predictive model of chronic kidney disease in children with posterior urethral valves.

Mariana A Vasconcelos, Ana Cristina Simões E Silva, Izabella R Gomes, Rafaela A Carvalho, Sergio V Pinheiro, Enrico A Colosimo, Peter Yorgin, Robert H Mak, Eduardo A Oliveira

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In one paragraph

Article in Pediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Mariana A VasconcelosPediatric Nephrourology Division, Department of Pediatrics, National Institute of Science and Technology (INCT) of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), R. Engenheiro Amaro Lanari 389/501, Belo Horizonte, MG, 30310-580, Brazil.
Ana Cristina Simões E SilvaPediatric Nephrourology Division, Department of Pediatrics, National Institute of Science and Technology (INCT) of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), R. Engenheiro Amaro Lanari 389/501, Belo Horizonte, MG, 30310-580, Brazil.
Izabella R GomesPediatric Nephrourology Division, Department of Pediatrics, National Institute of Science and Technology (INCT) of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), R. Engenheiro Amaro Lanari 389/501, Belo Horizonte, MG, 30310-580, Brazil.
Rafaela A CarvalhoPediatric Nephrourology Division, Department of Pediatrics, National Institute of Science and Technology (INCT) of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), R. Engenheiro Amaro Lanari 389/501, Belo Horizonte, MG, 30310-580, Brazil.
Sergio V PinheiroPediatric Nephrourology Division, Department of Pediatrics, National Institute of Science and Technology (INCT) of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), R. Engenheiro Amaro Lanari 389/501, Belo Horizonte, MG, 30310-580, Brazil.
Enrico A ColosimoDepartment of Statistics, UFMG, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Peter YorginDivision of Pediatric Nephrology, Rady Children's Hospital San Diego, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Robert H MakDivision of Pediatric Nephrology, Rady Children's Hospital San Diego, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Eduardo A OliveiraPediatric Nephrourology Division, Department of Pediatrics, National Institute of Science and Technology (INCT) of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), R. Engenheiro Amaro Lanari 389/501, Belo Horizonte, MG, 30310-580, Brazil. eduolive812@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-5642-7164

Funding

National Center for Muscle Rehabilitation ResearchR24HD050837 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LIEBER, RICHARD L., WARD, SAMUEL RICHARD · 2005 to 2014
$7.2M
NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD050837NIH HHS U01 DK-03012
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPosterior urethral valves (PUVs) are associated with severe consequences to the urinary tract and are a common cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD). The aim of this study was to develop clinical predictive model of CKD in a cohort of patients with PUVs.

methodsIn this retrospective cohort study, 173 patients with PUVs were systematically followed up at a single tertiary unit. The primary endpoint was CKD ≥ stage 3. Survival analyses were performed by Cox regression proportional hazard models with time-fixed and time-dependent covariables.

resultsMean follow-up time was 83 months (SD, 70 months). Sixty-five children (37.6%) developed CKD stage ≥ 3. After adjustment by the time-dependent Cox model, baseline creatinine, nadir creatinine, hypertension, and proteinuria remained as predictors of the endpoint. After adjustment by time-fixed model, three variables were predictors of CKD ≥ stage 3: baseline creatinine, nadir creatinine, and proteinuria. The prognostic risk score was divided into three categories: low-risk (69 children, 39.9%), medium-risk (45, 26%), and high-risk (59, 34.1%). The probability of CKD ≥ stage 3 at 10 years age was estimated as 6%, 40%, and 70% for patients assigned to the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk groups, respectively (P < 0.001). The main limitation was the preclusion of some relevant variables, especially bladder dysfunction, that might contribute to a more accurate prediction of renal outcome.

conclusionThe model accurately predicts the risk of CKD in PUVs patients. This model could be clinically useful in applying timely intervention and in preventing the impairment of renal function.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalChild, PreschoolDisease ProgressionFeasibility StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansInfantMaleProportional Hazards ModelsRenal Insufficiency, ChronicRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSurvival AnalysisUrethraChronic kidney diseaseFetal hydronephrosisHypertensionPosterior urethral valvesProteinuriaUrinary tract infectionVesicoureteral reflux

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.