Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30194294›Full record

Trial reportNature communications2018

Refined efficacy estimates of the Sanofi Pasteur dengue vaccine CYD-TDV using machine learning.

I Dorigatti, C A Donnelly, D J Laydon, R Small, N Jackson, L Coudeville, N M Ferguson

Abstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Nature communications, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Case Fatality Ratio Estimates for the 2013-2016 West African Ebola Epidemic: Application of Boosted Regression Trees for Imputation.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2020
    Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

I DorigattiMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London,, W2 1PG, UK. i.dorigatti@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9959-0706
C A DonnellyMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London,, W2 1PG, UK.
D J LaydonMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London,, W2 1PG, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4270-3321
R SmallSanofi Pasteur, 2501 Discovery Dr, Orlando, FL, 32826, USA.
N JacksonSanofi Pasteur, 1541 Avenue Marcel Mérieux, 69280, Marcy l'Étoile, France.
L CoudevilleSanofi Pasteur, 14, Espace Henry Vallee, 690077, Lyon, France.
N M FergusonMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London,, W2 1PG, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1154-8093

Funding

Imperial College London (ICL) WPIA F24087Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

CYD-TDV is the first licensed dengue vaccine for individuals 9-45 (or 60) years of age. Using 12% of the subjects enroled in phase-2b and phase-3 trials for which baseline serostatus was measured, the vaccine-induced protection against virologically confirmed dengue during active surveillance (0-25 months) was found to vary with prior exposure to dengue. Because age and dengue exposure are highly correlated in endemic settings, refined insight into how efficacy varies by serostatus and age is essential to understand the increased risk of hospitalisation observed among vaccinated individuals during the long-term follow-up and to develop safe and effective vaccination strategies. Here we apply machine learning to impute the baseline serostatus for subjects with post-dose 3 titres but missing baseline serostatus. We find evidence for age dependence in efficacy independent of serostatus and estimate that among 9-16 year olds, CYD-TDV is protective against serotypes 1, 3 and 4 regardless of baseline serostatus.

Indexed as

Dengue VaccinesImmunogenicity, VaccineAdolescentAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleCYD-TDV vaccineDengue Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID30194294
PMCPMC6128884

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.