Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30192887›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Screening for hepatitis D and PEG-Interferon over Tenofovir enhance general hepatitis control efforts in Brazil.

Ashish Goyal, Ethan Obie Romero-Severson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 44% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed, 1 citations in OpenAlex.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ashish GoyalTheoretical Biology and Biophysics, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1582-3379
Ethan Obie Romero-SeversonTheoretical Biology and Biophysics, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America.
Los Alamos National Laboratory · US

Funding

Reconstructing HIV Epidemics from HIV PhylogeneticsR01AI087520 · NIAID · TRIAD NATIONAL SECURITY, LLC · PI Thomas K. Leitner · 2010 to 2026
$11.2M
Spatial Models of Intrahepatic Hepatitis C Virus Propagation in HumansR01AI116868 · NIAID · TRIAD NATIONAL SECURITY, LLC · PI ASHWIN BALAGOPAL, Ruy M Ribeiro · 2016 to 2026
$8.5M
Modeling Viral and T Lymphocyte DynamicsR01OD011095 · OD · TRIAD NATIONAL SECURITY, LLC · PI PERELSON, ALAN S · 2012 to 2024
$5.0M
Immune System Modeling/HIVR01AI028433 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIF-LOS ALAMOS NAT LAB · PI PERELSON, ALAN S · 1990 to 2021
$3.7M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI028433NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI087520NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI116868NIH HHS R01 OD011095
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHepatitis D virus (HDV), which requires the presence of hepatitis B virus (HBV), is a deadly yet neglected disease that rapidly leads to liver cancer and disease-induced mortality. This co-dependence creates complex transmission dynamics that make it difficult to predict the efficacy of interventions aimed at HBV and/or HDV control in endemic regions, such as certain municipalities of Brazil, where up to 65% of HBV-infected persons are co-infected. METHODOLOGY: We created a mathematical model that captures the joint transmission dynamics of HBV and HDV, incorporating mother-to-child, sexual and household transmission. With an aim to minimize the number of total infections and disease-induced mortality in 2027, we then determined optimal strategies for Brazil and its sub-regions under a constrained budget, which was dynamically allocated among HBV and HDV screening, HBV and HDV treatment, HBV newborn and adult vaccination, and awareness programs. Three treatment options were considered, namely: Tenofovir, PEGylated-Interferon, and nucleic acid polymers (NAP).

resultsThe additional cost of HDV screening and the use of a more expensive PEGylated-Interferon are offset by not wasting resources on treating co-infected persons with Tenofovir. The introductory price of NAP treatment must be less than $16,000 per course to become competitive with Tenofovir and PEGylated-Interferon in Brazil.

conclusionAdditional screening for HDV is beneficial, even in a low HBV and HDV endemic regions of Brazil. We recommend PEGylated-Interferon, wherever possible, for both HBV and HDV. If PEGylated-Interferon is not available in abundance, PEGylated-Interferon for co-infections and 4-year Tenofovir treatment for mono-infections is recommended.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsBrazilCoinfectionDisease Transmission, InfectiousFemaleHepatitis BHepatitis B, ChronicHepatitis B virusHepatitis DHepatitis Delta VirusHumansInterferonsMaleModels, TheoreticalTenofovirViral LoadAntiviral AgentsInterferonsTenofovir

Identifiers

PMID30192887
PMCPMC6128631
OpenAlexW2892127873

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.