Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30185145›Full record

ArticleBMC pregnancy and childbirth2018

Serum progesterone distribution in normal pregnancies compared to pregnancies complicated by threatened miscarriage from 5 to 13 weeks gestation: a prospective cohort study.

Chee Wai Ku, John C Allen, Sze Min Lek, Ming Li Chia, Nguan Soon Tan, Thiam Chye Tan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.8field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 80 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
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  4. Review
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  8. Weekly changes in serumThe Journal of international medical research · 2025
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  13. Ectopic pregnancy.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Chee Wai KuDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, KK Women's and Children's Hospital, Singapore, 100 Bukit Timah Road, Singapore, 229899, Singapore. cheewai.ku@mohh.com.sg.
John C AllenDuke-National University of Singapore Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.
Sze Min LekDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, KK Women's and Children's Hospital, Singapore, 100 Bukit Timah Road, Singapore, 229899, Singapore.
Ming Li ChiaLee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Nguan Soon TanSchool of Biological Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Thiam Chye TanDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, KK Women's and Children's Hospital, Singapore, 100 Bukit Timah Road, Singapore, 229899, Singapore.
KK Women's and Children's Hospital · SGNanyang Technological University · SGNational University of Singapore · SG

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProgesterone is a critical hormone in early pregnancy. A low level of serum progesterone is associated with threatened miscarriage. We aim to establish the distribution of maternal serum progesterone in normal pregnancies compared to pregnancies complicated by threatened miscarriage from 5 to 13 weeks gestation.

methodsThis is a single centre, prospective cohort study of 929 patients. Women from the Normal Pregnancy [NP] cohort were recruited from antenatal clinics, and those in the Threatened Miscarriage [TM] cohort were recruited from emergency walk-in clinics. Women with multiple gestations, missed, incomplete or inevitable miscarriage were excluded from the study. Quantile regression was used to characterize serum progesterone levels in the NP and TM cohorts by estimating the 10th, 50th and 90th percentiles from 5 to 13 weeks gestation. Pregnancy outcome was determined at 16 weeks of gestation. Subgroup analysis within the TM group compared progesterone levels of women who subsequently miscarried with those who had ongoing pregnancies at 16 weeks of gestation.

resultsMedian serum progesterone concentration demonstrated a linearly increasing trend from 57.5 nmol/L to 80.8 nmol/L from 5 to 13 weeks gestation in the NP cohort. In the TM cohort, median serum progesterone concentration increased from 41.7 nmol/L to 78.1 nmol/L. However, median progesterone levels were uniformly lower in the TM cohort by approximately 10 nmol/L at every gestation week. In the subgroup analysis, median serum progesterone concentration in women with ongoing pregnancy at 16 weeks gestation demonstrated a linearly increasing trend from 5 to 13 weeks gestation. There was a marginal and non-significant increase in serum progesterone from 19.0 to 30.3 nmol/L from 5 to 13 weeks gestation in women who eventually had a spontaneous miscarriage.

conclusionsSerum progesterone concentration increased linearly with gestational age from 5 to 13 weeks in women with normal pregnancies. Women with spontaneous miscarriage showed a marginal and non-significant increase in serum progesterone. This study highlights the pivotal role of progesterone in supporting an early pregnancy, with lower serum progesterone associated with threatened miscarriage and a subsequent complete miscarriage at 16 weeks gestation.

Indexed as

Abortion, ThreatenedAdultCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGestational AgeHumansPregnancyPregnancy OutcomePregnancy Trimester, FirstProgesteroneProspective StudiesProgesteroneFirst trimester distributionProgesterone nomogramSerum progesteroneThreatened miscarriage

Identifiers

PMID30185145
PMCPMC6126027
OpenAlexW2889680493

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.