Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30177705›Full record

ArticleNature communications2018

Predicting the evolution of Escherichia coli by a data-driven approach.

Xiaokang Wang, Violeta Zorraquino, Minseung Kim, Athanasios Tsoukalas, Ilias Tagkopoulos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. ACS synthetic biology · 2021
    Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Adaptive laboratory evolution ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2026
    Article
  5. Advances in adaptive laboratory evolution applications forSynthetic and systems biotechnology · 2025
    Review
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  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Xiaokang WangDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA.
Violeta ZorraquinoGenome Center, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA.
Minseung KimGenome Center, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA.
Athanasios TsoukalasGenome Center, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA.
Ilias TagkopoulosGenome Center, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA. itagkopoulos@ucdavis.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1104-7616

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A tantalizing question in evolutionary biology is whether evolution can be predicted from past experiences. To address this question, we created a coherent compendium of more than 15,000 mutation events for the bacterium Escherichia coli under 178 distinct environmental settings. Compendium analysis provides a comprehensive view of the explored environments, mutation hotspots and mutation co-occurrence. While the mutations shared across all replicates decrease with the number of replicates, our results argue that the pairwise overlapping ratio remains the same, regardless of the number of replicates. An ensemble of predictors trained on the mutation compendium and tested in forward validation over 35 evolution replicates achieves a 49.2 ± 5.8% (mean ± std) precision and 34.5 ± 5.7% recall in predicting mutation targets. This work demonstrates how integrated datasets can be harnessed to create predictive models of evolution at a gene level and elucidate the effect of evolutionary processes in well-defined environments.

Indexed as

EnvironmentEvolution, MolecularEscherichia coliForecastingModels, GeneticMutationReproducibility of Results

Identifiers

PMID30177705
PMCPMC6120903

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.