Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30174459›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology2018

Development and validation of risk score to estimate 1-year late poststroke epilepsy risk in ischemic stroke patients.

Nai-Fang Chi, Yi-Chun Kuan, Yao-Hsien Huang, Lung Chan, Chaur-Jong Hu, Hung-Yi Liu, Hung-Yi Chiou, Li-Nien Chien

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Observational
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  5. Review
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  13. Hospital Revisits for Post-Ischemic Stroke Epilepsy after Acute Stroke Interventions.Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Nai-Fang ChiDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Yi-Chun KuanDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Yao-Hsien HuangDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Lung ChanDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Chaur-Jong HuDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Hung-Yi LiuHealth and Clinical Research Data Center, College of Public Health, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Hung-Yi ChiouSchool of Public Health, College of Public Health, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Li-Nien ChienSchool of Health Care Administration, College of Management, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China, lnchien@tmu.edu.tw.
Taipei Medical University-Shuang Ho Hospital · TWTaipei Medical University · TWNational Taiwan University · TW

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model for the 1-year risk of late poststroke epilepsy (PSE). MATERIALS AND

methodsWe included patients initially diagnosed with ischemic stroke between 2003 and 2014 in a National Health Insurance claims-based cohort in Taiwan. Patients were further divided into development and validation cohorts based on their year of stroke diagnosis. Multivariable Cox regression with backward elimination was used to analyze the association between 1-year PSE and risk factors before and on stroke admission.

resultsIn total, 1,684 (1.93%) and 725 (1.87%) ischemic stroke patients comprising the development and validation cohorts, respectively, experienced late PSE within 1 year after stroke. Seven clinical variables were examined to be independently associated with 1-year risk of PSE. We developed a risk score called "PSEiCARe" ranging from 0 to 16 points, comprising the following factors: prolonged hospital stay (>2 weeks, 1 point), seizure on admission (6 points), elderly patients (age ≥80 years, 1 point), intensive care unit stay on admission (3 points), cognitive impairment (dementia, 2 points), atrial fibrillation (2 points), and respiratory tract infection (pneumonia) on admission (1 point). Patients were further classified into low-, medium-, high-, and very-high-risk groups. The incidence (per 100 person-years) was 0.64 (95% CI: 0.56-0.71) for the low-risk, 2.62 (95% CI: 2.43-2.82) for the medium-risk, 10.3 (95% CI: 9.48-11.3) for the high-risk, and 28.2 (95% CI: 24.0-33.0) for the very-high-risk groups. Discrimination and calibration were satisfactory, with a Harrell's

conclusionPSEiCARe is an easy-to-use prognostic score that integrates patient characteristics and clinical factors on stroke admission to predict 1-year PSE risk; it has the potential to assist individualized patient management and improve clinical practice, thereby preventing the occurrence of late PSE.

Indexed as

claim analysispopulation-basedpoststroke epilepsyprediction modelrisk score

Identifiers

PMID30174459
PMCPMC6110266
OpenAlexW2888534926

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.